Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-12-28

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23605 576 301 194 193
VODI 76 172 276 254 97
ODI 12 56 141 427 223
CDI 7 26 88 335 570
VCDI 0 20 54 533 9183
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2011-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23958 628 332 128 35
VODI 173 261 254 243 63
ODI 7 85 235 371 166
CDI 2 17 153 410 382
VCDI 1 12 132 854 8517
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23414 403 217 169 70
VODI 537 216 197 147 52
ODI 152 193 193 253 108
CDI 36 130 215 301 291
VCDI 2 61 284 1136 8642

Date: 2011-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23066 652 259 123 95
VODI 234 199 276 88 97
ODI 72 184 234 188 127
CDI 16 89 204 473 303
VCDI 1 11 105 1407 8916
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22685 432 175 131 205
VODI 440 272 244 76 69
ODI 218 170 211 170 114
CDI 44 206 238 348 255
VCDI 2 55 210 1554 8895

Date: 2012-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23070 192 151 96 79
VODI 449 175 89 201 117
ODI 191 171 134 161 213
CDI 124 148 238 349 479
VCDI 19 154 269 1037 9113
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22770 168 107 74 138
VODI 540 152 134 167 101
ODI 230 141 152 232 238
CDI 238 131 190 364 625
VCDI 75 248 298 1007 8899

Date: 2012-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23434 442 149 75 37
VODI 218 182 148 173 53
ODI 84 107 148 421 187
CDI 32 83 121 597 753
VCDI 0 30 116 1013 8816
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22514 221 77 109 191
VODI 588 166 58 174 171
ODI 342 130 92 140 240
CDI 204 156 156 465 587
VCDI 120 171 299 1391 8657


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