Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-11-02

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 28331 384 264 108 7
VODI 182 189 160 77 12
ODI 28 56 101 92 33
CDI 12 29 86 157 113
VCDI 0 12 82 605 6299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 27723 237 194 179 30
VODI 473 145 88 124 14
ODI 176 130 79 153 24
CDI 37 62 52 221 46
VCDI 13 51 104 742 6322
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 27453 312 209 250 4
VODI 196 137 110 176 6
ODI 132 103 114 227 12
CDI 24 54 85 345 41
VCDI 0 10 43 984 6392
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 26974 269 186 202 3
VODI 538 130 71 159 9
ODI 183 114 115 230 9
CDI 109 83 122 363 37
VCDI 1 20 67 1028 6397

Date: 2011-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 27055 481 297 257 38
VODI 136 166 89 106 45
ODI 52 148 118 97 65
CDI 11 75 212 239 112
VCDI 0 17 134 979 6490
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 26464 282 207 178 49
VODI 600 232 143 76 40
ODI 149 197 140 144 48
CDI 39 127 213 335 111
VCDI 2 49 147 945 6502

Date: 2011-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 27257 374 264 253 27
VODI 198 178 140 114 20
ODI 34 125 149 161 40
CDI 19 54 146 262 71
VCDI 13 14 83 760 6663
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 26568 254 181 182 35
VODI 774 234 150 128 25
ODI 125 134 179 200 27
CDI 29 92 139 299 72
VCDI 25 31 133 741 6662

Date: 2011-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 27016 380 202 125 38
VODI 287 213 147 61 21
ODI 67 201 198 127 31
CDI 6 117 163 238 58
VCDI 10 117 297 634 6665
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 26334 281 168 110 40
VODI 842 244 149 45 16
ODI 139 198 175 145 22
CDI 38 210 191 231 48
VCDI 33 95 324 654 6687


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