Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-09-14

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30333 515 493 298 382
VODI 25 66 347 348 1149
ODI 0 2 129 162 932
CDI 0 1 60 149 2012
VCDI 0 0 4 6 6
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30366 579 339 181 176
VODI 69 91 187 221 822
ODI 1 16 95 181 963
CDI 0 10 77 220 1762
VCDI 0 7 31 62 963
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30173 624 341 85 77
VODI 31 151 288 206 228
ODI 0 28 102 163 1120
CDI 0 15 71 264 1058
VCDI 0 17 59 99 2219
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30048 593 320 94 68
VODI 148 163 325 196 315
ODI 8 47 83 147 932
CDI 0 20 97 254 1400
VCDI 0 12 36 126 1987

Date: 2011-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30376 453 280 149 65
VODI 31 63 243 260 175
ODI 0 3 95 161 565
CDI 0 19 60 276 1216
VCDI 0 20 97 171 2641
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30234 368 238 184 54
VODI 170 132 270 191 227
ODI 3 17 91 163 845
CDI 0 26 72 215 1140
VCDI 0 15 104 264 2396

Date: 2011-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30217 505 188 132 71
VODI 66 79 152 169 125
ODI 1 18 110 239 272
CDI 0 13 38 194 733
VCDI 1 26 167 350 3553
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30045 399 115 126 56
VODI 191 158 145 141 108
ODI 48 46 186 181 263
CDI 0 13 38 231 761
VCDI 1 25 171 405 3566

Date: 2011-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30170 450 196 167 64
VODI 44 135 171 127 90
ODI 1 15 110 218 140
CDI 0 3 16 337 496
VCDI 0 31 136 443 3859
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29983 384 171 168 45
VODI 198 174 161 140 83
ODI 34 42 152 191 238
CDI 0 6 11 312 586
VCDI 0 28 134 481 3697


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