Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-07-20

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29640 1 0 1 2
VODI 991 0 0 0 0
ODI 2001 0 0 0 0
CDI 2048 0 0 0 0
VCDI 2735 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27811 803 459 343 363
VODI 230 162 194 214 388
ODI 9 54 150 263 1671
CDI 0 2 56 162 1808
VCDI 0 38 12 19 2208
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29656 0 0 0 0
VODI 1451 0 0 0 0
ODI 2231 0 0 0 0
CDI 2153 4 2 0 0
VCDI 1891 17 9 5 0
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29465 0 0 0 0
VODI 2336 0 0 0 0
ODI 1486 0 0 0 0
CDI 2180 0 1 0 0
VCDI 1915 21 10 5 0

Date: 2011-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28345 547 529 280 158
VODI 273 162 240 316 702
ODI 31 71 181 220 1528
CDI 1 2 30 178 2315
VCDI 0 0 14 1 1295
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28292 554 539 338 197
VODI 356 201 317 374 1322
ODI 2 23 86 107 808
CDI 0 4 38 175 2169
VCDI 0 0 14 1 1502

Date: 2011-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28561 750 420 190 176
VODI 156 237 313 406 887
ODI 12 64 111 182 1352
CDI 0 25 54 160 2912
VCDI 0 0 14 1 436
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28473 843 474 238 329
VODI 256 175 280 435 1142
ODI 0 23 71 95 907
CDI 0 35 73 170 2646
VCDI 0 0 14 1 739

Date: 2011-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28625 715 512 297 212
VODI 174 198 272 417 876
ODI 27 40 63 141 1456
CDI 17 37 114 116 2839
VCDI 0 14 1 0 256
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28489 692 515 326 301
VODI 295 220 266 410 1033
ODI 28 35 56 108 1026
CDI 31 47 125 127 2714
VCDI 0 10 0 0 565


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