Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-07-13

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25907 1035 774 462 511
VODI 139 132 435 252 360
ODI 1 21 108 169 449
CDI 1 1 45 128 3162
VCDI 0 5 13 21 3288
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29166 4 0 0 0
VODI 1215 0 0 0 0
ODI 1217 0 0 0 0
CDI 2884 0 0 0 0
VCDI 2933 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27107 705 722 407 422
VODI 252 104 241 194 425
ODI 41 78 195 146 990
CDI 0 5 51 176 2408
VCDI 0 27 15 20 2688
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27065 758 799 409 513
VODI 266 63 191 204 497
ODI 69 65 199 223 1480
CDI 0 6 20 85 1591
VCDI 0 27 15 22 2852

Date: 2011-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27459 904 642 303 356
VODI 202 175 177 179 355
ODI 12 74 205 284 1380
CDI 0 2 46 92 2087
VCDI 0 38 13 30 2404
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27421 949 648 334 401
VODI 235 111 196 218 889
ODI 17 89 172 215 1138
CDI 0 6 55 84 1561
VCDI 0 38 12 37 2593

Date: 2011-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27841 968 450 268 233
VODI 259 159 186 125 507
ODI 11 93 220 310 1501
CDI 0 3 70 110 1959
VCDI 0 38 12 19 2077
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27810 983 481 280 338
VODI 242 141 219 284 1026
ODI 59 85 149 124 916
CDI 0 14 77 123 1830
VCDI 0 38 12 21 2167

Date: 2011-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28134 896 425 223 109
VODI 256 137 231 279 639
ODI 21 35 144 212 1642
CDI 0 6 38 221 2189
VCDI 0 0 14 4 1564
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28175 959 478 350 421
VODI 213 71 198 212 1153
ODI 23 34 136 152 777
CDI 0 10 25 221 2065
VCDI 0 0 15 4 1727


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