Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-06-22

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23510 832 428 314 565
VODI 532 353 413 250 338
ODI 221 187 353 215 405
CDI 38 155 346 380 1441
VCDI 0 0 51 183 5909
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23933 831 390 315 563
VODI 813 261 358 224 254
ODI 212 237 359 250 466
CDI 15 55 264 352 1147
VCDI 6 15 36 81 5982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24108 711 463 437 608
VODI 853 281 231 241 335
ODI 136 218 250 344 531
CDI 3 15 183 391 1276
VCDI 0 4 13 54 5733
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24164 829 560 544 731
VODI 732 152 135 174 298
ODI 194 200 205 301 433
CDI 10 45 217 367 1242
VCDI 0 3 23 81 5779

Date: 2011-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24453 858 526 414 696
VODI 539 368 214 199 358
ODI 48 189 228 260 610
CDI 2 11 104 401 1267
VCDI 0 3 17 81 5573
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24348 937 609 494 777
VODI 553 265 133 168 341
ODI 134 201 194 202 558
CDI 7 23 136 396 1398
VCDI 0 3 17 95 5430

Date: 2011-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25622 590 362 401 543
VODI 684 151 61 215 325
ODI 138 172 207 302 482
CDI 11 42 81 220 1393
VCDI 0 3 13 53 5348
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25633 613 375 405 620
VODI 554 126 83 230 316
ODI 233 148 154 258 420
CDI 35 68 99 257 1809
VCDI 0 3 13 41 4926

Date: 2011-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27736 1 1 0 0
VODI 1409 0 0 0 0
ODI 1171 0 0 0 0
CDI 2026 0 0 0 0
VCDI 5075 0 0 0 0
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27794 1 1 0 0
VODI 1376 0 0 0 0
ODI 1100 0 0 0 0
CDI 2887 0 0 0 0
VCDI 4260 0 0 0 0


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