Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-03-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20064 334 191 151 98
VODI 214 133 186 108 108
ODI 117 92 150 183 148
CDI 139 75 150 274 448
VCDI 163 122 289 1086 12525
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2011-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19750 462 284 154 93
VODI 105 110 136 118 122
ODI 53 104 156 156 151
CDI 35 63 177 200 401
VCDI 17 75 238 721 13538
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19746 465 267 132 110
VODI 92 111 142 115 109
ODI 47 94 156 165 172
CDI 47 66 179 179 363
VCDI 28 78 247 758 13551

Date: 2011-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20045 481 229 152 27
VODI 197 181 176 152 60
ODI 69 128 131 195 164
CDI 31 73 185 309 375
VCDI 38 37 210 902 12872
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20027 465 192 149 40
VODI 186 189 179 124 63
ODI 80 116 137 219 179
CDI 39 83 190 280 349
VCDI 48 47 233 938 12867

Date: 2011-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19964 333 212 211 192
VODI 202 120 81 110 167
ODI 94 168 125 125 202
CDI 76 90 172 243 588
VCDI 143 91 282 1132 12296
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19938 322 204 203 195
VODI 185 146 85 104 172
ODI 114 144 127 118 233
CDI 83 91 145 243 603
VCDI 159 99 311 1153 12242

Date: 2011-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20013 441 388 208 27
VODI 158 93 227 139 89
ODI 121 76 248 167 167
CDI 92 92 306 264 378
VCDI 86 133 582 1198 11726
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19908 399 341 187 26
VODI 254 111 254 151 81
ODI 146 100 275 162 197
CDI 72 94 279 275 440
VCDI 90 131 602 1201 11643


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