Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-02-16

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19496 299 320 138 186
VODI 117 82 89 86 103
ODI 48 59 107 87 127
CDI 28 82 147 207 375
VCDI 36 112 301 838 13949
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19777 173 188 184 189
VODI 108 68 82 130 144
ODI 61 50 64 146 160
CDI 48 60 77 226 387
VCDI 13 48 93 538 14405
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19555 391 276 112 195
VODI 64 104 116 127 138
ODI 47 50 113 141 159
CDI 46 39 131 247 380
VCDI 13 23 175 1101 13676
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19512 369 267 126 214
VODI 113 117 113 96 137
ODI 43 63 113 122 161
CDI 40 33 151 245 362
VCDI 17 25 167 1139 13674

Date: 2011-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19360 412 221 176 208
VODI 240 84 71 98 117
ODI 87 102 120 95 125
CDI 58 95 206 189 326
VCDI 46 99 480 1272 13132
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19379 391 203 149 183
VODI 233 119 86 115 132
ODI 72 102 130 108 131
CDI 55 64 213 192 323
VCDI 52 116 466 1266 13139

Date: 2011-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19544 258 166 177 86
VODI 231 103 95 143 100
ODI 73 106 100 218 157
CDI 18 38 113 275 429
VCDI 8 54 149 1421 13357
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19551 251 173 194 96
VODI 207 103 82 123 98
ODI 84 104 96 201 164
CDI 21 46 117 279 392
VCDI 11 55 155 1437 13379

Date: 2011-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19672 326 289 167 110
VODI 136 92 75 127 83
ODI 72 91 106 125 126
CDI 51 89 90 219 342
VCDI 74 165 257 1176 13359
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19472 291 255 149 113
VODI 215 73 83 112 91
ODI 150 91 80 120 160
CDI 80 126 108 206 268
VCDI 88 182 291 1227 13388


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