Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-01-05

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20159 264 181 198 129
VODI 181 111 53 78 56
ODI 83 106 75 96 71
CDI 67 110 123 135 217
VCDI 34 111 239 752 13790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19984 201 132 113 122
VODI 222 109 114 125 21
ODI 126 132 106 171 39
CDI 118 105 174 310 144
VCDI 62 151 323 1647 12668
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19728 389 179 147 167
VODI 105 130 129 97 63
ODI 60 94 134 131 134
CDI 28 81 154 287 236
VCDI 1241 158 398 1282 11867
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19742 398 188 156 155
VODI 90 105 110 95 72
ODI 52 101 119 118 115
CDI 29 79 139 232 169
VCDI 1249 169 438 1343 11956

Date: 2011-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19905 252 111 151 44
VODI 143 132 104 140 44
ODI 62 118 132 106 35
CDI 38 75 160 239 148
VCDI 33 121 396 1668 13062
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19956 287 131 217 72
VODI 104 91 98 81 24
ODI 52 87 120 91 33
CDI 34 74 118 220 144
VCDI 35 159 436 1695 13060

Date: 2011-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19565 277 199 149 51
VODI 237 142 113 65 44
ODI 83 103 90 129 41
CDI 57 118 127 238 160
VCDI 962 168 380 1467 12454
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19692 360 250 175 68
VODI 117 79 88 65 37
ODI 76 72 70 115 43
CDI 44 113 116 215 151
VCDI 975 184 385 1478 12451

Date: 2011-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19410 249 159 213 20
VODI 168 154 113 114 48
ODI 66 75 93 101 40
CDI 42 61 140 245 170
VCDI 29 103 363 1282 13961
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19486 345 227 289 41
VODI 112 69 84 67 42
ODI 48 63 71 88 51
CDI 39 61 86 194 150
VCDI 30 104 400 1317 13955


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