Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-12-29

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19934 397 242 213 105
VODI 122 108 118 86 64
ODI 47 73 125 124 46
CDI 59 69 143 229 167
VCDI 71 169 341 1625 12742
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19934 368 213 167 166
VODI 155 107 83 144 40
ODI 43 86 66 101 52
CDI 28 86 91 165 65
VCDI 46 149 203 1219 13642
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20288 226 180 149 151
VODI 210 84 50 76 46
ODI 105 78 53 81 39
CDI 63 102 98 171 98
VCDI 31 108 213 823 13896
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20254 238 178 144 148
VODI 204 70 52 73 45
ODI 101 69 42 75 42
CDI 84 78 69 141 62
VCDI 54 143 253 867 13933

Date: 2010-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2011-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19864 302 178 131 147
VODI 147 106 83 161 17
ODI 84 110 131 175 54
CDI 50 114 179 286 126
VCDI 55 241 342 1807 12529
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19772 302 191 187 154
VODI 152 99 66 116 21
ODI 83 93 132 181 50
CDI 77 87 147 274 122
VCDI 116 292 377 1802 12526

Date: 2011-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19804 289 152 183 66
VODI 126 148 94 87 85
ODI 76 112 131 102 70
CDI 40 96 158 249 201
VCDI 1117 145 432 1274 12182
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 19750 319 181 235 103
VODI 131 94 102 56 57
ODI 74 90 98 100 81
CDI 44 83 105 183 152
VCDI 1164 204 481 1321 12211


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