Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-12-01

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 22261 268 121 127 68
VODI 153 94 85 61 18
ODI 57 55 77 91 13
CDI 49 53 80 209 94
VCDI 170 79 174 1123 11839
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 21396 405 211 274 24
VODI 164 143 126 80 22
ODI 58 85 78 88 29
CDI 40 70 94 161 110
VCDI 85 122 247 1420 11887
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 21031 504 304 441 39
VODI 116 105 73 124 45
ODI 44 66 74 131 68
CDI 41 59 105 288 168
VCDI 89 124 164 1332 11884
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20990 487 309 433 40
VODI 118 92 56 120 32
ODI 67 59 65 120 62
CDI 43 67 99 248 159
VCDI 103 153 191 1395 11911

Date: 2010-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 21116 346 223 392 25
VODI 136 82 99 129 14
ODI 72 66 65 112 16
CDI 57 57 75 246 114
VCDI 81 90 228 1661 11917
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 21142 354 236 418 29
VODI 117 73 75 102 15
ODI 56 61 47 106 13
CDI 51 41 90 223 108
VCDI 96 112 242 1691 11921

Date: 2010-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20732 560 318 322 29
VODI 89 102 116 111 22
ODI 38 62 104 134 46
CDI 41 44 95 139 154
VCDI 26 120 332 1089 12594
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20701 569 328 337 31
VODI 97 82 99 89 18
ODI 49 66 91 113 36
CDI 38 49 101 155 134
VCDI 41 122 346 1101 12626

Date: 2010-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20539 468 269 505 11
VODI 132 73 108 190 22
ODI 68 69 85 219 34
CDI 48 55 65 364 131
VCDI 29 125 210 1278 12322
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20492 463 308 552 20
VODI 123 71 76 163 18
ODI 71 61 72 196 31
CDI 47 48 59 301 118
VCDI 83 147 222 1344 12333


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