Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-11-24

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23649 258 224 102 61
VODI 187 78 71 33 6
ODI 148 67 107 64 9
CDI 222 102 98 237 50
VCDI 103 175 326 1327 9715
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22692 348 133 129 90
VODI 151 97 74 36 25
ODI 66 103 71 41 28
CDI 45 89 140 142 82
VCDI 203 152 372 1567 10543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22329 337 180 121 76
VODI 98 104 96 51 27
ODI 55 83 93 75 29
CDI 35 53 120 127 100
VCDI 168 109 249 1146 11558
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22316 358 205 145 101
VODI 80 62 59 47 10
ODI 50 57 72 48 11
CDI 39 65 98 111 86
VCDI 200 144 304 1169 11582

Date: 2010-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22130 210 129 118 75
VODI 209 76 86 57 31
ODI 83 53 61 60 38
CDI 47 61 79 152 106
VCDI 181 80 241 1078 11978
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22194 244 169 151 110
VODI 99 34 52 36 18
ODI 67 38 44 36 15
CDI 53 47 53 120 91
VCDI 237 117 278 1122 11994

Date: 2010-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 21055 487 335 322 39
VODI 152 110 114 105 42
ODI 50 60 91 121 31
CDI 31 48 107 223 156
VCDI 66 94 272 1286 12022
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 21064 517 367 368 66
VODI 106 66 69 81 12
ODI 51 40 64 81 22
CDI 39 48 86 189 137
VCDI 94 128 333 1338 12053

Date: 2010-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20963 480 235 465 54
VODI 108 108 96 135 33
ODI 47 70 67 139 50
CDI 39 78 91 253 130
VCDI 64 123 207 1360 12024
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20922 476 246 519 80
VODI 82 74 44 63 22
ODI 56 40 50 82 34
CDI 52 60 83 202 88
VCDI 109 209 273 1486 12067


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