Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-11-17

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 24434 409 189 137 21
VODI 136 120 116 51 7
ODI 91 72 132 125 12
CDI 86 75 124 248 50
VCDI 43 79 186 1463 9013
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 24159 196 94 117 18
VODI 285 58 25 25 1
ODI 249 114 40 31 5
CDI 235 125 92 70 63
VCDI 296 207 347 1093 9474
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 23831 269 136 161 86
VODI 219 56 72 37 3
ODI 218 64 94 66 9
CDI 172 108 173 192 42
VCDI 101 169 268 1288 9585
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 23796 272 170 186 86
VODI 169 42 45 34 4
ODI 147 40 72 40 11
CDI 144 64 129 133 45
VCDI 285 248 327 1351 9579

Date: 2010-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 23406 279 206 71 61
VODI 172 93 59 38 15
ODI 110 70 63 44 19
CDI 143 67 99 198 115
VCDI 203 180 365 1309 10034
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 23330 296 239 114 69
VODI 145 41 26 16 12
ODI 127 64 41 39 11
CDI 127 60 83 155 96
VCDI 305 228 403 1336 10056

Date: 2010-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2010-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 22261 268 121 127 68
VODI 153 94 85 61 18
ODI 57 55 77 91 13
CDI 49 53 80 209 94
VCDI 170 79 174 1123 11839
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 22150 276 128 145 86
VODI 85 47 42 40 10
ODI 75 42 28 45 17
CDI 67 48 67 114 92
VCDI 313 136 272 1267 11827


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