Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-11-10

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26259 245 248 142 5
VODI 248 77 103 108 5
ODI 66 66 137 209 6
CDI 60 54 155 380 15
VCDI 24 65 221 1399 7122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24555 442 202 72 47
VODI 162 147 135 46 14
ODI 86 113 212 88 20
CDI 52 48 158 254 80
VCDI 4 25 96 1233 9128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24555 430 198 108 30
VODI 110 111 117 79 16
ODI 60 105 132 114 25
CDI 50 80 135 231 79
VCDI 31 33 183 1333 9074
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24564 464 265 151 39
VODI 81 70 66 57 11
ODI 63 80 91 86 17
CDI 52 80 107 175 59
VCDI 46 65 236 1396 9098

Date: 2010-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24529 321 124 83 19
VODI 226 88 87 65 5
ODI 146 64 83 97 15
CDI 165 79 73 168 75
VCDI 99 106 202 913 9587
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24572 370 197 127 29
VODI 160 48 55 36 10
ODI 125 48 44 82 17
CDI 141 68 49 140 60
VCDI 167 124 224 941 9585

Date: 2010-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23874 292 153 87 60
VODI 236 85 48 16 10
ODI 191 90 69 25 18
CDI 207 133 101 68 48
VCDI 303 219 532 1011 9543
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23855 312 184 107 67
VODI 202 57 32 18 10
ODI 179 95 51 17 18
CDI 174 128 108 63 42
VCDI 401 227 528 1002 9542

Date: 2010-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23649 258 224 102 61
VODI 187 78 71 33 6
ODI 148 67 107 64 9
CDI 222 102 98 237 50
VCDI 103 175 326 1327 9715
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23502 268 262 142 65
VODI 177 38 45 25 10
ODI 155 51 73 39 8
CDI 171 46 73 168 41
VCDI 304 277 373 1389 9717


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