Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-11-03

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 28076 212 188 177 6
VODI 134 67 60 50 2
ODI 96 60 69 71 7
CDI 86 114 76 67 12
VCDI 70 150 263 942 6364
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 27049 463 221 157 17
VODI 95 94 67 67 9
ODI 58 75 55 83 13
CDI 33 98 105 131 26
VCDI 22 152 458 1292 6579
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 26676 340 266 72 8
VODI 136 94 117 90 5
ODI 67 61 105 189 12
CDI 63 54 105 228 39
VCDI 26 68 304 1136 7158
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 26648 356 303 93 9
VODI 116 55 60 84 3
ODI 66 56 93 161 9
CDI 56 51 103 159 15
VCDI 82 99 338 1218 7186

Date: 2010-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 25771 335 162 100 4
VODI 368 138 91 113 4
ODI 82 57 96 189 5
CDI 72 48 180 408 8
VCDI 28 54 232 1697 7177
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 25977 368 188 131 7
VODI 120 90 76 92 3
ODI 64 44 76 197 1
CDI 79 49 121 321 6
VCDI 81 81 300 1766 7181

Date: 2010-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 24366 484 215 93 44
VODI 234 89 101 56 11
ODI 77 66 162 119 17
CDI 98 47 129 200 57
VCDI 44 37 220 1208 9245
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 24424 484 244 131 49
VODI 118 61 68 65 9
ODI 82 61 97 63 15
CDI 100 56 143 176 45
VCDI 95 61 275 1241 9256

Date: 2010-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 24434 409 189 137 21
VODI 136 120 116 51 7
ODI 91 72 132 125 12
CDI 86 75 124 248 50
VCDI 43 79 186 1463 9013
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 24251 403 196 137 21
VODI 142 68 78 59 7
ODI 114 50 91 77 10
CDI 88 62 90 187 46
VCDI 195 172 292 1564 9019


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