Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-12-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2025-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 157469 12582 0 0 0
c1 1538 23201 1897 179 0
c2 72 3539 10527 5769 0
c3 91 1034 2655 6035 0
c4 7 295 839 1205 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 158717 11868 4 0 0
c1 2355 23698 1343 181 0
c2 102 5473 9483 4736 0
c3 58 1302 4132 5777 0
c4 19 404 1303 1564 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 165406 10904 0 0 0
c1 2282 23132 1170 190 0
c2 94 6443 8816 4545 0
c3 39 1375 5092 8670 0
c4 6 402 1613 1908 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 169839 11037 0 0 0
c1 1175 21650 1414 157 0
c2 66 5824 7478 4285 0
c3 87 1181 3298 6818 0
c4 6 401 1289 1817 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 169839 11037 0 0 0
c1 1175 21650 1414 157 0
c2 66 5824 7478 4285 0
c3 87 1181 3298 6818 0
c4 6 401 1289 1817 0

Date: 2025-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 150247 11538 0 0 0
c1 1240 20449 2870 263 0
c2 205 4808 7785 3143 0
c3 143 727 2794 5432 0
c4 6 288 1244 1821 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 150074 11375 0 0 0
c1 1420 20581 2864 268 0
c2 205 4854 7837 3121 0
c3 136 715 2767 5444 0
c4 6 285 1225 1826 0

Date: 2025-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2025-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2025-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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