Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 279599 5625 0 1 0
c1 17326 23922 7687 2599 0
c2 20205 3741 11095 8851 0
c3 31922 182 1886 11812 0
c4 10325 49 266 797 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 277788 5692 4 2 0
c1 18033 21336 7332 2449 0
c2 18817 5014 10911 8836 0
c3 29731 847 2362 12372 0
c4 12640 22 249 1068 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 275269 5522 14 2 0
c1 18142 22928 6505 2041 0
c2 19558 3438 11978 8698 0
c3 28247 114 1280 7566 0
c4 19494 0 290 421 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 273142 3703 0 2 0
c1 22670 20951 4541 1675 0
c2 21091 3326 11333 8602 0
c3 28958 29 1698 8474 0
c4 21506 0 27 299 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 273867 4869 0 2 0
c1 22243 19800 4259 1684 0
c2 21360 3301 11672 8921 0
c3 28392 39 1638 8162 0
c4 21505 0 30 283 0

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 269538 4163 6 2 0
c1 17040 25008 5992 1888 0
c2 17378 5299 11796 9041 0
c3 26431 280 1664 7410 0
c4 12445 137 290 583 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 270605 5492 6 2 0
c1 16798 23737 5722 1801 0
c2 17754 5192 12118 9321 0
c3 25265 321 1604 7196 0
c4 12410 145 298 604 0

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 268268 6004 12 0 0
c1 15103 25028 6393 1634 0
c2 16279 5590 12845 8976 0
c3 17961 772 2478 8730 0
c4 8099 22 578 1597 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 267760 5185 11 0 0
c1 15729 25724 6560 1594 0
c2 16180 5645 12543 8887 0
c3 17927 836 2589 8868 0
c4 8114 26 603 1588 0

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 266401 4862 15 1 0
c1 12930 26044 9356 1997 0
c2 16701 4408 13096 9768 0
c3 21611 675 2711 7584 0
c4 4865 44 460 1218 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 264533 5043 34 1 0
c1 14810 23000 7546 2147 0
c2 16301 6768 13246 7997 0
c3 20578 1133 4132 8868 0
c4 6286 89 680 1555 0

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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