Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 280072 4977 0 0 0
c1 19678 26610 9113 1718 0
c2 20796 4553 10794 9267 0
c3 26256 886 1224 8586 0
c4 7741 130 466 4614 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 278806 5042 0 0 0
c1 13363 32571 6892 897 0
c2 18339 5433 12224 10037 0
c3 26112 908 1798 7378 0
c4 5683 250 708 1238 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 280841 5703 3 1 0
c1 14241 30285 7471 1264 0
c2 20637 4243 10131 9795 0
c3 28244 280 2374 8213 0
c4 7368 0 173 1175 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 280147 5900 3 1 0
c1 16770 25586 6698 2955 0
c2 20240 4441 9555 9153 0
c3 29888 542 2567 9373 0
c4 12835 144 308 1191 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 281241 7250 3 1 0
c1 16369 24399 6946 3270 0
c2 19776 4281 9299 8831 0
c3 29547 540 2565 9360 0
c4 12947 143 318 1211 0

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 280490 3920 0 1 0
c1 19924 19547 7636 2368 0
c2 19687 4517 10699 7759 0
c3 29573 498 2463 13468 0
c4 14524 0 90 611 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 281962 5389 0 2 0
c1 19455 18245 7684 2478 0
c2 19191 4317 10771 7773 0
c3 29219 531 2350 13312 0
c4 14371 0 83 642 0

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 277858 4753 13 2 0
c1 14640 25200 8165 3079 0
c2 18336 3312 12616 9466 0
c3 26284 250 1799 9414 0
c4 10242 0 99 840 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 277994 7354 13 2 0
c1 15513 20571 7656 3347 0
c2 17839 4707 12351 8287 0
c3 27653 791 2328 10095 0
c4 8361 92 344 1070 0

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 273000 5810 18 2 0
c1 16032 25423 5874 2234 0
c2 19358 4015 12688 9288 0
c3 28203 254 2002 9511 0
c4 15047 4 140 887 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 272598 9070 107 2 0
c1 17095 21128 5548 2627 0
c2 19090 4202 12548 9004 0
c3 29880 1028 2221 9198 0
c4 12977 78 298 1091 0

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 269135 5837 59 2 0
c1 15748 26332 5876 2135 0
c2 16953 4878 11182 9251 0
c3 26276 366 2004 7105 0
c4 12587 98 335 877 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 268629 9609 158 2 0
c1 16537 21654 4888 2155 0
c2 17536 4790 11509 8961 0
c3 27915 1291 2458 7122 0
c4 10082 167 443 1130 0


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