Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-10-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 436402 14519 10 26 0
c1 6123 15815 323 73 0
c2 1796 7837 5192 734 0
c3 10949 6741 7168 3694 0
c4 9171 3833 2259 14816 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 429790 15848 20 4 0
c1 7487 17666 307 55 0
c2 1859 7038 6485 1048 0
c3 10632 5575 9043 4016 0
c4 10863 3219 3338 9574 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 430100 16198 20 4 0
c1 7248 18024 634 102 0
c2 1686 6139 5827 1024 0
c3 10569 5738 9309 3964 0
c4 11028 3247 3403 9603 0

Date: 2024-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 424894 14861 14 3 0
c1 9195 19948 323 45 0
c2 2077 8051 5995 882 0
c3 9703 6536 9681 4000 0
c4 7356 3405 3638 13046 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 425553 15547 14 3 0
c1 8589 19852 579 103 0
c2 1894 7284 5479 890 0
c3 9556 6711 9789 4085 0
c4 7633 3407 3790 12895 0

Date: 2024-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 413420 15122 9 2 0
c1 17834 21982 464 62 0
c2 1834 6718 6073 1562 0
c3 9939 5542 9333 5771 0
c4 6878 4054 3623 12131 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 417382 16498 9 2 0
c1 12986 21008 759 167 0
c2 2251 5777 5489 1469 0
c3 9927 5418 9274 5835 0
c4 7359 4717 3971 12055 0

Date: 2024-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 406090 14310 16 2 0
c1 19145 26376 788 89 0
c2 2103 7613 4967 942 0
c3 10930 4634 9705 6519 0
c4 7207 1824 2522 7680 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 407399 15726 19 2 0
c1 17174 25551 1146 159 0
c2 2440 6685 4668 924 0
c3 10998 4770 9439 6172 0
c4 7464 2025 2726 7975 0

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 396342 15403 25 3 0
c1 11424 39333 1642 282 0
c2 1422 8596 6045 1199 0
c3 7963 4983 10628 8480 0
c4 5889 1441 2772 4507 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 394382 18105 31 5 0
c1 12726 37511 1973 330 0
c2 1971 7170 5947 1267 0
c3 8090 5130 10044 8228 0
c4 5871 1840 3117 4641 0


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