Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232270 1504 11 2 0
c1 15076 14442 740 145 0
c2 13441 11271 7996 2338 0
c3 21689 3986 13231 9556 0
c4 44584 2205 5171 14160 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 230796 1876 24 3 0
c1 16162 14271 600 262 0
c2 11539 13358 5609 3208 0
c3 20826 6303 13358 8658 0
c4 42681 2662 6291 14683 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232487 1533 11 1 0
c1 15610 13243 489 87 0
c2 10711 11022 6796 3458 0
c3 19772 6317 10963 8466 0
c4 25278 2784 7914 14052 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232984 1060 6 2 0
c1 16444 10531 328 233 0
c2 7149 16192 6228 3161 0
c3 21417 7776 11667 9479 0
c4 47961 3121 8939 16915 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233197 1095 7 1 0
c1 16141 10325 344 211 0
c2 7281 16226 6236 3236 0
c3 21358 7888 11701 9350 0
c4 47978 3146 8880 16992 0

Date: 2024-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233249 1240 16 1 0
c1 12128 13575 393 411 0
c2 3981 15955 6772 4231 0
c3 3350 9283 15365 12627 0
c4 4562 3722 10074 16951 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233489 1299 17 1 0
c1 11871 13383 340 396 0
c2 3998 15959 6838 4226 0
c3 3337 9439 15313 12559 0
c4 4575 3695 10112 17039 0

Date: 2024-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234285 1573 5 1 0
c1 13615 11551 318 362 0
c2 9203 12710 5071 4038 0
c3 17190 9926 12949 9872 0
c4 29164 3785 11153 18324 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232011 1590 4 2 0
c1 15420 10464 360 486 0
c2 10208 13549 5147 3992 0
c3 16793 10151 13043 9980 0
c4 29025 3791 10942 18137 0

Date: 2024-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233784 2074 5 3 0
c1 13765 9900 299 199 0
c2 10008 11723 5944 2991 0
c3 17451 8060 13476 11495 0
c4 32816 2604 9124 20938 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 230720 2192 2 1 0
c1 16097 9213 468 361 0
c2 11116 12321 6024 3033 0
c3 16962 7986 13577 11718 0
c4 32929 2649 8777 20513 0

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233485 1505 8 10 0
c1 14911 9456 465 215 0
c2 7860 16765 4141 2010 0
c3 23088 9637 8445 10009 0
c4 46461 4882 11813 23351 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 230938 1847 20 9 0
c1 16756 8364 607 375 0
c2 8914 17387 4094 2306 0
c3 22809 9598 8608 10034 0
c4 46388 5049 11543 22871 0


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