Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243064 1962 10 5 0
c1 15412 19477 1258 253 0
c2 9844 16482 13675 4713 0
c3 3952 4885 8176 12789 0
c4 1605 661 2952 7199 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240215 3049 0 0 0
c1 17534 17590 773 306 0
c2 16508 13899 9814 6166 0
c3 13524 3431 6347 10219 0
c4 28908 335 2857 5778 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241427 2481 45 2 0
c1 15600 19236 1719 443 0
c2 16422 11383 10253 5183 0
c3 15409 3374 6371 10110 0
c4 21171 603 3523 8115 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241450 2354 3 0 0
c1 17433 15862 1519 282 0
c2 17068 10628 11028 4841 0
c3 21252 2706 7062 10691 0
c4 29082 1204 4359 8466 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241871 2363 10 0 0
c1 17068 15888 1434 281 0
c2 17009 10649 11215 4907 0
c3 21322 2697 6904 10560 0
c4 29015 1157 4408 8532 0

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240783 2087 0 0 0
c1 16545 15989 1389 189 0
c2 19079 8693 10806 5009 0
c3 17369 1846 5932 10873 0
c4 29804 824 2437 8698 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240953 2208 3 0 0
c1 16453 15980 1343 188 0
c2 19094 8611 10910 5101 0
c3 17340 1859 5881 10740 0
c4 29740 781 2427 8740 0

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241579 2182 9 15 0
c1 17302 18392 1223 243 0
c2 15555 9206 8942 3960 0
c3 19062 2059 8039 9832 0
c4 30806 573 2236 7554 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 238860 2436 11 16 0
c1 18354 15451 764 215 0
c2 18433 10776 8697 4387 0
c3 17524 2859 7508 8032 0
c4 31133 890 3469 8954 0

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240680 2546 10 19 0
c1 15472 19296 1588 352 0
c2 14081 11379 7742 3598 0
c3 16820 3917 9784 9672 0
c4 23847 651 2583 8650 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 237519 2481 18 20 0
c1 17391 16685 1170 384 0
c2 16789 12870 8170 3703 0
c3 15578 4333 8104 8371 0
c4 23623 1420 4245 9813 0

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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