Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 252538 2036 0 0 0
c1 18486 15734 2369 1263 0
c2 15591 11138 10034 6815 0
c3 19177 3096 6157 10580 0
c4 41243 440 2011 4735 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 250437 2123 4 1 0
c1 15336 17152 3040 1391 0
c2 15575 7806 10492 6324 0
c3 17584 2039 6358 10037 0
c4 31711 549 1742 5232 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 248148 3227 0 0 0
c1 12529 21435 3515 1243 0
c2 15637 6172 13568 7293 0
c3 22683 1632 5186 8681 0
c4 44599 611 738 3581 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 246494 2282 4 0 0
c1 14124 20002 4341 702 0
c2 11819 6793 11802 7302 0
c3 7589 2754 5195 10549 0
c4 3508 1376 1877 7301 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 246777 2323 4 0 0
c1 13879 19913 4466 706 0
c2 11998 6895 11795 7293 0
c3 7383 2717 5097 10554 0
c4 3497 1359 1857 7301 0

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244492 2143 7 0 0
c1 14913 18783 3836 1214 0
c2 12700 6827 10543 7647 0
c3 13197 2202 4913 9774 0
c4 12154 1572 3025 6455 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244717 2237 9 1 0
c1 14742 18613 3903 1228 0
c2 12864 6877 10555 7677 0
c3 12987 2225 4833 9713 0
c4 12146 1575 3024 6471 0

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 246353 1693 8 8 0
c1 13327 19109 2800 573 0
c2 17224 6071 9833 7418 0
c3 16875 2502 4282 9881 0
c4 30043 894 1516 11444 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244426 2029 8 10 0
c1 14932 17133 3390 952 0
c2 14484 6808 8927 8012 0
c3 17751 2458 4388 8864 0
c4 32229 1841 1726 11486 0

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244273 2758 6 4 0
c1 14452 17106 2823 528 0
c2 15406 7282 11807 7580 0
c3 18680 3776 5221 9893 0
c4 28734 766 2395 5099 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 242139 3028 42 3 0
c1 15377 15113 2988 657 0
c2 13982 7676 10645 8311 0
c3 19156 4146 5622 8984 0
c4 30891 1725 2955 5149 0

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243323 2501 0 0 0
c1 14806 17772 1743 353 0
c2 10420 11756 14079 7067 0
c3 6889 5467 8530 11420 0
c4 5750 1144 2559 7673 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240827 3451 28 1 0
c1 15522 14800 1736 371 0
c2 9979 11347 12176 7105 0
c3 8237 6968 9362 10699 0
c4 6623 2074 3609 8337 0


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