Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 253818 2275 0 0 0
c1 14608 23739 3423 535 0
c2 14750 10718 13033 7004 0
c3 16079 2173 4700 11155 0
c4 29898 192 1292 5921 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 250768 3305 0 2 0
c1 18414 21697 1921 436 0
c2 13479 11559 11260 7385 0
c3 10100 3055 7576 13164 0
c4 14145 542 1419 5365 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 253374 2185 2 7 0
c1 18486 21271 1441 312 0
c2 24164 11529 9197 4330 0
c3 19935 1952 5102 9744 0
c4 40670 553 1546 3750 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 252413 2232 23 2 0
c1 15667 20577 2137 978 0
c2 17012 12803 10479 5939 0
c3 10914 3603 8295 12823 0
c4 7307 562 1927 5602 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 252258 2236 22 4 0
c1 15932 20684 2142 939 0
c2 16893 12752 10475 6056 0
c3 10972 3557 8315 12774 0
c4 7258 548 1907 5571 0

Date: 2024-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 251724 1863 3 0 0
c1 17889 15537 2753 1326 0
c2 13778 10252 11104 6153 0
c3 11929 2727 7562 13185 0
c4 10139 303 1394 5629 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 251540 1933 4 0 0
c1 18118 15639 2783 1169 0
c2 13808 10075 11124 6338 0
c3 11858 2747 7520 13144 0
c4 10135 288 1385 5642 0

Date: 2024-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 249965 2752 1 0 0
c1 12756 19782 4737 953 0
c2 15110 4567 11525 8679 0
c3 10452 1548 4248 9632 0
c4 13010 794 1573 3445 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 248311 2880 3 0 0
c1 14769 17267 4031 1090 0
c2 13182 6279 10946 7576 0
c3 12127 1688 5252 10152 0
c4 12904 1329 1852 3891 0

Date: 2024-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 247528 2510 7 0 0
c1 14625 19708 3755 777 0
c2 15080 5822 10955 7265 0
c3 17155 1673 4618 9535 0
c4 23998 758 1565 6772 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 245462 2592 9 0 0
c1 16738 17188 3146 886 0
c2 13544 7549 9963 6156 0
c3 18651 1846 5951 9985 0
c4 23991 1296 1831 7322 0

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244648 2894 4 3 0
c1 14534 19251 4312 822 0
c2 15269 6499 10373 6931 0
c3 15681 2551 4872 9179 0
c4 6832 2137 3835 6099 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243459 3026 2 4 0
c1 15483 17415 3722 894 0
c2 14955 7678 9297 5927 0
c3 16330 2666 6426 9584 0
c4 6737 2547 3949 6625 0


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