Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 271339 7513 8 2 0
c1 10606 36000 10992 3492 0
c2 3318 5210 10495 10333 0
c3 10929 974 2440 5539 0
c4 21399 241 1137 2111 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 267423 6643 7 0 0
c1 14004 33167 12170 3948 0
c2 5897 4649 10386 9607 0
c3 4060 1060 3033 6931 0
c4 2420 194 980 2704 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 268402 3567 9 0 0
c1 18275 30920 6263 1423 0
c2 7734 5615 11346 9209 0
c3 10605 1179 3170 8329 0
c4 21475 262 1525 3692 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 265014 4799 21 0 0
c1 14136 32519 6438 1355 0
c2 3009 6153 14204 11477 0
c3 5993 1629 3956 9621 0
c4 16602 326 1770 3352 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 265086 4909 6 0 0
c1 14038 32386 6342 1385 0
c2 3043 6217 14273 11406 0
c3 6003 1595 3979 9660 0
c4 16584 319 1789 3354 0

Date: 2023-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 263193 5271 4 0 0
c1 12951 32367 5278 1453 0
c2 935 8610 14569 12788 0
c3 907 2225 4870 10778 0
c4 1102 457 2577 4236 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 263161 5258 2 0 0
c1 12999 32394 5359 1413 0
c2 956 8711 14459 12799 0
c3 877 2139 4888 10824 0
c4 1095 428 2590 4219 0

Date: 2024-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 264217 3578 0 0 0
c1 9043 33522 4789 785 0
c2 735 8681 14392 11361 0
c3 1110 2031 3759 9120 0
c4 1107 417 1951 5036 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 261281 3535 0 1 0
c1 11641 32293 5648 1986 0
c2 1146 9560 12877 10564 0
c3 1040 2237 4342 8668 0
c4 1104 604 2024 5083 0

Date: 2024-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 261842 3357 0 0 0
c1 10922 31433 5039 1325 0
c2 1077 10013 14782 9492 0
c3 915 2100 5061 10751 0
c4 1142 286 1861 7595 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 257767 2732 0 0 0
c1 15005 30462 5761 1985 0
c2 1083 11277 13881 9497 0
c3 917 2297 5030 10046 0
c4 1126 421 2071 7635 0

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 256255 3917 0 0 0
c1 13056 30183 6409 1265 0
c2 4255 9879 15951 10179 0
c3 819 2164 5436 12034 0
c4 1169 177 1617 4320 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 253070 3663 0 0 0
c1 16701 29229 7604 2067 0
c2 3774 10841 14522 10165 0
c3 865 2323 5493 10697 0
c4 1144 264 1794 4869 0


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