Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 313914 10392 14 0 0
c1 7955 33984 3325 464 0
c2 1782 8335 12783 8063 0
c3 1153 1852 4928 13769 0
c4 2461 379 979 2963 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 310237 9781 20 22 0
c1 10770 33776 2769 671 0
c2 13701 7770 10790 4727 0
c3 5153 2233 4839 12377 0
c4 2648 375 1567 3235 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 310198 7918 36 4 0
c1 12320 32592 4465 1232 0
c2 13110 5524 10748 6976 0
c3 5811 2216 5844 14992 0
c4 8050 621 2203 3794 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308420 7575 12 2 0
c1 12900 30123 6479 797 0
c2 5666 5691 11877 6679 0
c3 1606 1746 5141 15716 0
c4 2790 713 2703 3551 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308520 7550 16 2 0
c1 12744 30196 6497 764 0
c2 5714 5584 11886 6643 0
c3 1624 1799 5106 15776 0
c4 2780 719 2707 3560 0

Date: 2023-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 302300 10272 32 13 0
c1 7482 35704 6281 775 0
c2 1627 6544 14709 8363 0
c3 951 1298 4545 13790 0
c4 1738 649 2225 5406 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 302230 10585 33 15 0
c1 7573 35294 6294 795 0
c2 1582 6596 14711 8341 0
c3 986 1314 4533 13888 0
c4 1727 678 2221 5308 0

Date: 2023-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 298046 9019 28 12 0
c1 11903 32793 6834 670 0
c2 14494 3299 13837 6584 0
c3 6557 953 3072 9945 0
c4 8999 299 1498 3769 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 296358 10960 31 13 0
c1 13446 30668 6679 832 0
c2 14171 3366 13611 6289 0
c3 7104 871 3090 9781 0
c4 8920 498 1858 4065 0

Date: 2023-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 292152 9477 14 3 0
c1 13794 31972 7565 1209 0
c2 11165 4056 11549 10257 0
c3 3801 1422 3687 9960 0
c4 3983 404 1730 4359 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 290452 10065 16 3 0
c1 15590 30462 7264 1360 0
c2 10733 4730 11436 10249 0
c3 4259 1546 3668 9684 0
c4 3861 528 2161 4492 0

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 286444 9640 16 13 0
c1 15565 33332 6274 1840 0
c2 12759 4480 8736 8842 0
c3 6491 1834 3543 9010 0
c4 3324 1084 2417 2999 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 282401 9990 52 22 0
c1 19459 32328 6066 2126 0
c2 12351 5019 8866 9030 0
c3 7037 1982 3614 8229 0
c4 3335 1051 2388 3297 0


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