Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 322907 7408 20 6 0
c1 12778 27542 4318 807 0
c2 6630 5451 11825 8303 0
c3 3012 1944 3529 11235 0
c4 3966 727 1567 2275 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 320323 8078 2 4 0
c1 10060 29033 4215 911 0
c2 8926 7488 12324 7810 0
c3 1864 2435 4998 14103 0
c4 2338 762 1557 6730 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 319483 7624 14 10 0
c1 9863 30966 3978 786 0
c2 8949 7393 10470 6293 0
c3 17523 2519 4240 11503 0
c4 12176 533 2400 2322 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 316620 8674 5 12 0
c1 13104 28211 3170 804 0
c2 9691 6857 10508 6254 0
c3 4308 1898 5835 15692 0
c4 3936 408 857 6616 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 316619 8751 4 2 0
c1 13240 27972 3120 810 0
c2 9524 7090 10533 6208 0
c3 4285 1863 5854 15770 0
c4 3991 372 864 6588 0

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 312545 9645 4 1 0
c1 12929 31523 1943 596 0
c2 13394 8061 8949 5300 0
c3 4592 1393 3527 12426 0
c4 3415 298 933 2779 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 312493 9690 4 0 0
c1 13150 31117 1883 582 0
c2 13227 8464 8933 5283 0
c3 4563 1385 3611 12471 0
c4 3442 264 925 2766 0

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 309643 9087 17 3 0
c1 7705 37528 4339 1340 0
c2 4126 6777 11857 7788 0
c3 772 2296 5410 14029 0
c4 1068 495 1991 3396 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308375 9989 29 40 0
c1 8619 34074 3636 1964 0
c2 4321 8964 12303 6760 0
c3 947 2564 5587 14581 0
c4 1052 592 2059 3211 0

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308977 8036 14 2 0
c1 10043 33371 5938 1033 0
c2 5574 5563 12001 6458 0
c3 3749 2027 5738 15372 0
c4 5020 570 2265 3539 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 307393 7998 33 2 0
c1 11123 30974 4734 1175 0
c2 6094 7169 13464 6398 0
c3 3776 2803 5307 15439 0
c4 4977 623 2418 3390 0

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 306704 8009 19 3 0
c1 11265 30601 7132 892 0
c2 3826 5389 13401 8103 0
c3 700 1505 4821 15213 0
c4 1107 811 2755 4120 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 303707 7183 22 3 0
c1 13725 28822 5476 1002 0
c2 4269 7190 14770 7708 0
c3 800 2115 4923 15528 0
c4 1101 1005 2937 4090 0


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