Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-03-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67054 16272 378 527 80 3 0 0
OW 34 1497 412 803 152 18 0 0
VODI 0 393 213 1165 606 58 2 0
ODI 0 79 56 581 829 193 9 0
CDI 0 32 10 396 1201 1453 283 67
VCDI 0 58 28 230 1290 8132 23598 66551
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67046 15848 449 597 93 0 0 0
OW 35 1471 384 846 232 10 0 0
VODI 0 501 228 1103 503 106 0 0
ODI 0 154 45 730 934 315 4 0
CDI 0 70 73 454 1273 1489 259 58
VCDI 0 4 2 177 1256 6756 22026 69212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66849 16164 504 677 86 1 0 0
OW 52 1380 411 903 211 19 0 0
VODI 9 323 128 1114 815 70 0 0
ODI 0 74 41 419 1211 343 18 0
CDI 0 44 21 261 1380 2372 710 48
VCDI 0 3 12 131 816 5284 21444 70395
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66136 16395 523 585 84 0 0 0
OW 59 1175 403 986 291 10 0 0
VODI 8 282 152 1009 900 167 0 0
ODI 0 91 32 369 1024 443 39 0
CDI 0 60 26 224 1134 2485 669 115
VCDI 0 34 13 136 513 8023 24695 65453
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66139 16371 510 633 104 0 0 0
OW 51 1194 397 924 278 13 0 0
VODI 13 291 173 998 884 161 0 0
ODI 0 91 32 395 1052 475 43 0
CDI 0 54 23 223 1086 2509 773 129
VCDI 0 36 14 136 542 7970 24587 65439

Date: 2025-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64825 16993 361 610 96 0 0 0
OW 14 1335 286 991 390 4 0 0
VODI 0 277 212 886 931 212 0 0
ODI 0 67 28 481 826 524 12 6
CDI 0 53 20 209 1290 2555 1146 53
VCDI 0 51 46 276 901 8608 31330 57838
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64825 16965 353 662 97 0 0 0
OW 14 1334 302 936 420 9 0 0
VODI 0 309 203 900 903 183 0 0
ODI 0 76 34 490 891 548 13 2
CDI 0 43 20 193 1251 2639 1183 67
VCDI 0 49 41 272 872 8524 31292 57828

Date: 2025-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65056 17270 374 466 70 0 0 0
OW 10 1130 468 988 274 12 0 0
VODI 0 92 82 1146 901 59 0 0
ODI 0 20 10 268 1383 400 2 1
CDI 0 1 3 111 1532 3669 300 52
VCDI 0 0 0 19 485 10648 35093 52348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65043 16647 323 514 87 0 0 0
OW 23 1429 379 859 306 23 0 0
VODI 0 313 188 921 799 115 0 0
ODI 0 76 21 417 1036 418 12 1
CDI 0 39 22 177 1596 2989 928 35
VCDI 0 9 4 110 821 11243 34455 52365

Date: 2025-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64852 17083 421 409 51 0 0 0
OW 1 891 406 1130 296 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 123 943 911 113 0 0
ODI 0 34 20 352 1203 619 5 1
CDI 0 6 13 147 1424 4042 958 22
VCDI 0 1 5 128 722 10000 35015 52255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64849 16480 367 427 65 0 0 0
OW 4 1256 379 987 305 7 0 0
VODI 0 287 164 930 938 187 0 0
ODI 0 75 41 417 1012 607 4 0
CDI 0 31 16 170 1465 3436 1177 18
VCDI 0 27 21 178 822 10537 34797 52260

Date: 2025-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64496 16892 323 453 67 0 0 0
OW 0 1003 367 1040 288 8 0 0
VODI 0 273 125 917 973 75 0 0
ODI 0 36 47 429 1183 475 12 3
CDI 0 7 11 239 1694 3192 1672 32
VCDI 0 0 0 154 813 8718 33080 55646
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64493 16510 379 689 93 0 0 0
OW 3 1142 263 855 449 14 0 0
VODI 0 414 135 726 928 138 0 0
ODI 0 89 67 416 950 541 10 7
CDI 0 30 18 317 1594 2698 1525 87
VCDI 0 26 11 229 1004 9077 33229 55587


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