Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-02-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68096 16895 313 273 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1149 398 898 132 0 0 0
VODI 0 262 162 899 738 57 0 0
ODI 0 72 66 407 816 447 35 1
CDI 0 36 39 291 1043 1417 895 52
VCDI 0 12 11 168 959 7037 26844 63813
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68730 15966 259 297 20 0 0 0
OW 93 1280 406 660 158 8 0 0
VODI 0 321 215 1026 504 59 0 0
ODI 0 84 78 550 884 341 20 0
CDI 0 59 45 332 1355 1864 256 28
VCDI 0 9 13 205 843 7658 23618 66499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69264 15600 230 245 23 0 0 0
OW 7 1334 495 729 95 13 0 0
VODI 0 314 229 1321 624 43 1 0
ODI 0 72 33 517 1195 258 16 0
CDI 0 23 18 225 1534 2010 368 22
VCDI 0 16 13 164 862 7091 20046 69693
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67539 16950 330 295 18 0 0 0
OW 0 1370 417 831 134 1 0 0
VODI 0 528 257 1164 645 9 0 0
ODI 0 116 69 501 988 315 0 0
CDI 0 42 26 341 1392 2106 268 9
VCDI 0 18 26 257 970 7704 20641 68466
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67539 17016 350 306 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1321 412 838 127 0 0 0
VODI 0 527 232 1148 657 16 0 0
ODI 0 106 74 487 981 337 0 0
CDI 0 38 34 369 1418 2065 303 11
VCDI 0 16 23 241 944 7717 20606 68464

Date: 2025-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67325 16980 291 461 19 0 0 0
OW 2 1261 403 1010 116 3 0 0
VODI 0 498 261 1055 691 26 2 0
ODI 0 117 42 528 806 271 23 0
CDI 0 63 21 276 1287 1365 447 19
VCDI 0 36 37 202 944 8237 22272 67346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67326 17094 312 514 19 0 0 0
OW 1 1157 386 965 144 5 0 0
VODI 0 489 241 1051 708 45 0 0
ODI 0 129 49 507 773 273 35 0
CDI 0 54 32 293 1245 1325 454 23
VCDI 0 32 35 202 974 8254 22255 67342

Date: 2025-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67534 16738 410 538 43 0 0 0
OW 0 1293 482 902 182 2 0 0
VODI 0 235 161 1482 763 8 0 0
ODI 0 34 27 378 1260 172 0 0
CDI 0 13 28 170 1131 2184 166 9
VCDI 0 0 7 133 592 8239 20302 69125
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67528 16290 456 718 67 0 0 0
OW 6 1260 300 806 324 2 0 0
VODI 0 458 170 871 821 82 6 0
ODI 0 168 81 526 679 250 37 0
CDI 0 83 57 382 1089 1168 282 7
VCDI 0 54 51 300 991 9103 20143 69127

Date: 2025-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67013 16720 433 715 114 2 0 0
OW 12 1139 355 946 224 10 0 0
VODI 1 248 149 1077 753 42 0 0
ODI 0 62 23 519 1044 193 0 1
CDI 0 21 3 268 1200 1523 175 28
VCDI 0 23 22 141 1072 8571 20765 69136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67026 16034 441 810 153 2 0 0
OW 0 1296 246 828 296 16 0 0
VODI 0 554 144 901 669 138 0 0
ODI 0 192 62 478 793 275 35 0
CDI 0 81 61 391 1167 1131 195 10
VCDI 0 56 31 258 1329 8779 20710 69155

Date: 2025-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67054 16272 378 527 80 3 0 0
OW 34 1497 412 803 152 18 0 0
VODI 0 393 213 1165 606 58 2 0
ODI 0 79 56 581 829 193 9 0
CDI 0 32 10 396 1201 1453 283 67
VCDI 0 58 28 230 1290 8132 23598 66551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67064 15793 418 571 109 7 0 0
OW 24 1525 265 732 239 26 0 0
VODI 0 594 199 948 590 104 7 0
ODI 0 213 86 597 685 254 39 4
CDI 0 123 77 471 1083 1214 286 44
VCDI 0 83 52 383 1452 8252 23560 66570


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