Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68615 10081 131 118 2 0 0 0
OW 27 754 256 411 59 3 0 0
VODI 0 263 146 525 269 16 0 0
ODI 1 78 52 318 624 222 16 0
CDI 7 45 40 358 834 1695 611 0
VCDI 2 15 9 107 361 1745 6698 4902
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67614 11070 164 126 12 0 0 0
OW 17 910 221 367 82 2 0 0
VODI 0 253 137 523 258 16 0 0
ODI 0 87 38 284 516 205 29 0
CDI 2 50 28 283 873 1279 775 10
VCDI 8 34 18 148 485 1578 6890 5024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65894 12963 344 312 21 0 0 0
OW 28 630 198 577 146 0 0 0
VODI 1 57 73 453 392 16 0 0
ODI 0 17 20 178 467 203 0 0
CDI 0 16 7 131 630 1176 970 0
VCDI 10 3 3 31 209 1197 7908 5135
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64482 13529 382 514 64 4 0 0
OW 16 489 137 551 240 39 0 0
VODI 6 93 39 431 369 157 1 0
ODI 0 30 5 184 485 265 42 0
CDI 0 14 5 74 649 1656 1452 0
VCDI 0 14 1 11 127 1024 7946 4889
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64487 13695 410 672 91 1 0 0
OW 14 345 116 506 290 32 0 0
VODI 3 77 35 366 436 206 0 0
ODI 0 31 4 153 463 355 69 0
CDI 0 8 3 60 569 1642 1713 0
VCDI 0 13 1 8 85 909 7659 4889

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64725 12911 386 437 6 0 0 0
OW 51 762 187 594 179 0 0 0
VODI 6 155 67 512 523 46 0 0
ODI 0 43 26 198 507 248 0 0
CDI 0 18 27 152 590 1502 487 5
VCDI 0 8 6 96 391 1954 8226 4385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64759 13186 447 633 47 0 0 0
OW 20 550 150 519 331 4 0 0
VODI 3 113 61 478 467 137 0 0
ODI 0 28 23 186 468 381 0 0
CDI 0 12 16 130 546 1456 822 10
VCDI 0 8 2 43 337 1772 7891 4380

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66781 11218 311 424 80 0 0 0
OW 5 674 166 480 256 25 0 0
VODI 0 171 60 399 466 156 0 0
ODI 0 49 32 175 406 341 10 0
CDI 0 14 28 170 567 1204 583 0
VCDI 0 5 10 75 346 1772 8049 4908
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66768 11058 303 396 43 0 0 0
OW 18 785 170 468 277 16 0 0
VODI 0 217 62 418 467 164 0 0
ODI 0 52 35 195 421 390 13 0
CDI 0 14 32 172 556 1164 656 2
VCDI 0 5 5 74 357 1764 7973 4906

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65927 12039 381 422 11 12 0 0
OW 43 524 171 578 209 52 0 0
VODI 11 101 68 380 483 155 0 0
ODI 0 12 43 194 404 313 5 0
CDI 0 0 11 109 486 1105 847 10
VCDI 10 0 0 42 177 1152 8526 5403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65868 11449 286 366 34 14 0 0
OW 95 773 180 444 187 91 0 0
VODI 18 358 94 372 377 173 6 0
ODI 0 66 67 216 366 358 54 1
CDI 0 28 27 233 546 988 1030 21
VCDI 10 2 20 94 260 1165 8288 5391

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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