Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8567 4194 163 278 21 0 0 0
OW 83 536 128 594 382 51 0 0
VODI 8 116 51 383 372 201 54 0
ODI 0 26 4 210 194 216 128 0
CDI 0 18 2 121 127 338 312 1
VCDI 0 0 0 58 174 3637 10751 28732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7832 4571 261 329 125 2 0 0
OW 98 268 159 652 248 58 0 0
VODI 7 172 51 438 347 162 0 0
ODI 0 37 8 218 225 218 15 0
CDI 0 23 9 104 194 382 46 0
VCDI 0 12 3 60 203 3448 7758 32488
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7374 4021 182 348 69 44 0 0
OW 13 344 140 438 259 37 0 0
VODI 6 39 18 736 839 114 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 124 452 336 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 140 704 123 36
VCDI 0 0 0 1 214 2817 8823 32421
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7346 3621 62 143 40 37 3 0
OW 4 489 156 340 295 39 9 0
VODI 2 35 39 449 675 307 6 0
ODI 0 1 0 83 560 498 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 229 849 163 25
VCDI 0 0 0 1 91 2771 9669 32157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7347 3940 135 278 57 63 5 0
OW 4 184 117 452 361 42 8 0
VODI 1 21 5 249 746 416 4 0
ODI 0 1 0 38 450 572 56 2
CDI 0 0 0 13 183 718 191 117
VCDI 0 0 0 2 93 2690 9607 32063

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7503 3227 82 86 12 6 0 0
OW 0 458 121 243 141 84 1 0
VODI 0 74 37 354 486 292 167 0
ODI 0 6 5 94 574 393 255 5
CDI 0 0 0 47 366 606 517 94
VCDI 0 0 0 0 112 2017 7904 34862
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7503 3553 126 157 51 9 0 0
OW 0 185 103 364 206 130 7 0
VODI 0 26 15 185 547 320 251 0
ODI 0 1 1 81 463 480 313 11
CDI 0 0 0 37 304 534 523 49
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 1925 7750 34901

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7329 3404 179 280 17 1 0 0
OW 0 145 35 320 225 63 0 0
VODI 0 38 24 158 470 307 59 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 411 581 355 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 458 842 437 88
VCDI 0 0 0 28 180 2239 8856 33655
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7329 3321 125 164 14 0 0 0
OW 0 214 86 363 152 22 0 0
VODI 0 51 27 206 518 305 17 0
ODI 0 1 0 56 388 630 347 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 445 881 458 74
VCDI 0 0 0 31 244 2195 8885 33669

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7112 3130 189 176 0 0 0 0
OW 0 233 106 445 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 5 228 375 139 4 0
ODI 0 1 2 21 249 433 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 239 1114 733 66
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 2409 13141 30311
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7112 3161 196 238 5 0 0 0
OW 0 187 90 334 141 7 0 0
VODI 0 23 12 251 385 336 62 0
ODI 0 6 2 39 176 530 340 2
CDI 0 1 2 8 182 766 830 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 234 2456 12742 30313

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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