Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69887 9443 98 109 32 0 0 0
OW 157 934 165 299 82 17 0 0
VODI 13 322 152 591 303 83 0 0
ODI 0 92 91 243 383 230 6 0
CDI 2 61 77 415 594 769 419 4
VCDI 0 10 15 132 647 1527 6628 5384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69901 9246 124 78 11 1 0 0
OW 105 852 208 299 122 40 0 0
VODI 6 254 169 549 286 84 0 0
ODI 6 48 63 321 412 190 10 0
CDI 0 32 39 283 831 908 650 2
VCDI 0 14 1 80 299 1636 6371 5885
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68108 10972 232 125 10 0 0 0
OW 36 588 221 512 99 8 0 0
VODI 4 99 100 595 364 79 5 0
ODI 4 16 44 251 526 207 22 0
CDI 2 9 5 188 616 1297 560 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 130 1142 6982 6236
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68509 10263 158 106 6 0 0 0
OW 72 642 201 478 64 0 0 0
VODI 1 248 123 480 338 32 0 0
ODI 4 47 67 342 600 234 10 0
CDI 6 29 19 282 771 1553 387 0
VCDI 0 4 2 79 331 1786 7850 4292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68551 10486 215 230 9 0 0 0
OW 31 487 171 534 158 1 0 0
VODI 0 207 123 417 422 95 0 0
ODI 6 31 47 316 614 381 22 0
CDI 4 20 12 204 641 1464 549 0
VCDI 0 2 2 66 266 1664 7676 4292

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68448 10259 148 108 3 0 0 0
OW 10 827 228 408 79 1 0 0
VODI 0 249 155 534 234 22 0 0
ODI 0 84 53 332 558 190 32 0
CDI 6 68 40 344 812 1581 703 0
VCDI 4 33 20 170 402 1584 6059 5628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68452 10626 216 237 9 0 0 0
OW 6 583 213 469 156 9 0 0
VODI 0 203 137 520 335 49 1 0
ODI 0 50 34 312 594 327 48 0
CDI 6 35 31 225 693 1536 766 0
VCDI 4 23 13 133 301 1457 5979 5628

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67631 11516 245 163 13 0 0 0
OW 40 730 291 530 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 84 580 362 9 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 191 641 117 0 0
CDI 0 14 5 150 667 1326 241 0
VCDI 10 0 1 21 271 1209 8030 5172
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67638 11362 254 313 33 0 0 0
OW 33 714 178 381 187 6 0 0
VODI 0 203 128 411 379 51 0 0
ODI 0 39 58 264 422 326 73 0
CDI 0 12 15 206 662 1187 933 18
VCDI 10 0 1 60 349 1091 7265 5154

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65141 13305 401 506 33 0 0 0
OW 31 503 178 532 248 1 0 0
VODI 0 83 68 367 417 57 0 0
ODI 0 12 23 178 387 261 2 0
CDI 0 12 7 121 555 1269 1502 16
VCDI 0 16 4 15 121 669 7916 5459
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65167 13035 389 628 123 2 0 0
OW 5 668 142 378 277 33 0 0
VODI 0 162 84 301 426 131 0 0
ODI 0 45 38 193 333 399 67 0
CDI 0 10 27 185 396 979 1748 2
VCDI 0 11 1 34 206 713 7605 5473

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64891 12944 355 451 49 0 0 0
OW 33 598 194 438 286 21 0 0
VODI 8 134 98 427 463 138 0 0
ODI 0 22 17 230 461 297 19 0
CDI 0 6 15 127 645 1685 846 2
VCDI 10 0 0 34 260 1672 7951 4589
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64874 12727 394 586 174 14 0 0
OW 52 694 100 363 356 43 0 0
VODI 6 205 112 281 399 212 0 0
ODI 0 62 45 206 350 509 44 0
CDI 3 16 26 223 588 1400 1043 3
VCDI 7 0 2 48 297 1635 7729 4588


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