Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 682 36 27 0 0 0 0
OW 5 197 50 70 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 55 15 112 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 67 144 27 2 0
CDI 0 30 8 35 173 93 8 0
VCDI 0 48 28 128 220 647 6640 23414
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 626 26 38 0 0 0 0
OW 1 195 23 72 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 8 110 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 3 47 101 85 0 0
CDI 0 42 4 24 108 212 20 15
VCDI 0 97 36 102 164 534 6553 23613
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96 742 34 22 0 0 0 0
OW 1 183 63 66 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 11 126 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 4 80 35 12 0 0
CDI 0 17 17 116 197 80 23 7
VCDI 0 0 0 41 327 805 6513 23384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 161 825 16 5 0 0 0 0
OW 4 240 27 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 37 54 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 26 59 32 13 0 0
CDI 0 41 25 99 156 84 4 6
VCDI 0 53 26 267 573 1641 8889 19576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 165 931 21 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 171 44 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 48 78 9 2 0 0
ODI 0 28 18 90 41 17 0 0
CDI 0 36 7 146 267 102 5 20
VCDI 0 35 19 157 453 1617 8888 19562

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 197 674 22 39 0 0 0 0
OW 5 169 46 54 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 29 95 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 7 62 68 5 0 0
CDI 0 57 9 44 162 120 18 12
VCDI 0 97 44 150 526 1009 6682 22548
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 774 39 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 117 42 65 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 34 107 36 1 0 0
ODI 0 38 5 70 99 15 0 0
CDI 0 33 8 48 272 166 20 25
VCDI 0 60 29 98 367 952 6680 22535

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132 638 33 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 66 67 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 16 141 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 72 101 1 0 0
CDI 0 9 13 58 140 109 12 2
VCDI 0 0 1 53 212 966 6837 23170
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130 605 47 78 2 0 0 0
OW 2 93 41 83 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 13 121 63 5 0 0
ODI 0 57 17 52 84 33 0 0
CDI 0 10 8 38 113 277 46 14
VCDI 0 0 6 59 190 761 6803 23158

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 574 50 38 0 0 0 0
OW 2 56 28 134 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 6 95 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 38 87 11 0 0
CDI 0 6 8 76 120 191 4 19
VCDI 0 0 0 5 60 593 6081 24645
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55 505 40 77 12 0 0 0
OW 3 109 28 57 33 7 0 0
VODI 0 30 13 120 69 29 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 55 53 53 3 0
CDI 0 11 11 63 76 204 102 11
VCDI 0 0 0 14 93 502 5980 24653

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 524 21 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 36 57 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 25 76 44 9 0 0
ODI 0 18 9 67 58 30 1 0
CDI 0 16 7 96 147 160 12 0
VCDI 0 0 2 23 85 634 3783 26913
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 458 25 36 18 1 0 0
OW 1 161 20 50 42 21 0 0
VODI 0 71 42 86 46 44 0 0
ODI 0 13 8 67 65 59 3 0
CDI 0 5 3 51 85 196 60 4
VCDI 0 0 2 44 106 512 3733 26909


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