Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8194 4034 66 47 0 0 0 0
OW 28 1027 159 363 48 0 0 0
VODI 80 420 84 591 467 55 0 0
ODI 26 79 20 370 755 275 0 0
CDI 0 12 7 116 564 1168 394 17
VCDI 0 0 0 2 315 2751 7755 30942
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8040 4103 84 125 0 0 0 0
OW 22 1032 168 305 59 3 0 0
VODI 45 547 147 636 422 53 0 0
ODI 26 133 42 220 700 146 0 0
CDI 0 31 10 88 601 1244 107 12
VCDI 0 6 8 55 178 3057 5626 33150
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9041 4100 49 38 0 0 0 0
OW 10 910 257 609 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 37 685 668 4 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 150 960 185 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 468 889 52 17
VCDI 0 0 0 14 253 2789 7249 31618
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8746 4198 127 186 11 0 0 0
OW 3 705 163 632 341 26 0 0
VODI 0 99 32 403 385 284 31 0
ODI 0 24 2 192 169 278 238 0
CDI 0 11 1 110 135 482 424 1
VCDI 0 0 0 37 164 3315 10034 29242
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8749 4555 254 403 45 0 0 0
OW 0 395 53 563 445 50 0 0
VODI 0 65 15 319 365 333 40 0
ODI 0 20 2 158 132 308 190 0
CDI 0 2 1 106 86 581 555 1
VCDI 0 0 0 11 132 3113 9942 29242

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8150 4505 205 271 70 0 0 0
OW 107 389 163 608 337 19 0 0
VODI 7 154 61 352 430 152 0 0
ODI 0 24 3 220 233 235 0 0
CDI 0 32 5 94 189 416 12 5
VCDI 0 19 7 40 253 3910 7396 32158
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8244 4732 331 578 175 3 0 0
OW 19 200 53 446 411 48 0 0
VODI 1 129 46 276 375 191 0 0
ODI 0 38 8 194 196 259 2 0
CDI 0 24 3 64 170 410 32 3
VCDI 0 0 3 27 185 3821 7374 32160

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7533 4421 242 229 106 8 0 0
OW 17 238 211 537 133 20 0 0
VODI 7 55 10 1041 483 75 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 92 519 220 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 175 714 72 19
VCDI 0 0 0 15 187 2862 8475 32490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7533 4513 419 787 333 90 0 0
OW 23 123 24 543 249 143 2 0
VODI 1 56 18 383 411 168 52 0
ODI 0 23 2 136 199 243 78 0
CDI 0 3 0 75 162 362 109 9
VCDI 0 0 0 11 249 2893 8306 32500

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7319 3810 153 215 103 38 0 0
OW 6 418 123 357 309 28 0 0
VODI 3 24 23 580 826 172 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 507 444 27 2
CDI 0 0 0 19 161 673 139 53
VCDI 0 0 0 1 120 3533 9488 31434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7319 4159 231 471 554 148 9 0
OW 7 80 66 484 276 232 44 0
VODI 2 12 2 253 537 298 85 0
ODI 0 1 0 67 275 327 97 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 192 351 191 50
VCDI 0 0 0 1 192 3532 9231 31439

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7337 3464 86 116 47 12 0 0
OW 5 466 128 318 139 115 1 0
VODI 3 47 26 420 577 334 124 0
ODI 0 1 1 75 518 434 183 1
CDI 0 0 0 46 271 711 435 37
VCDI 0 0 0 2 60 1764 9649 33278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7340 3731 154 324 326 489 128 0
OW 2 234 72 268 123 117 207 0
VODI 3 13 15 283 446 240 245 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 355 248 201 1
CDI 0 0 0 24 256 322 284 48
VCDI 0 0 0 9 106 1954 9327 33267


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