Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78154 14159 200 183 32 0 0 0
OW 190 2158 374 732 130 17 0 0
VODI 94 797 251 1294 800 138 0 0
ODI 26 195 118 680 1282 532 8 0
CDI 2 103 92 566 1331 2030 821 21
VCDI 0 58 43 262 1182 4925 21023 59740
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78034 13975 234 241 11 1 0 0
OW 128 2079 399 676 190 43 0 0
VODI 51 871 324 1295 744 137 0 0
ODI 32 210 108 588 1213 421 10 0
CDI 0 105 53 395 1540 2364 777 29
VCDI 0 117 45 237 641 5227 18550 62648
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77245 15814 315 185 10 0 0 0
OW 47 1681 541 1187 111 8 0 0
VODI 4 240 148 1406 1046 83 5 0
ODI 4 56 49 481 1521 404 22 0
CDI 2 26 22 369 1281 2266 635 24
VCDI 0 0 0 77 710 4736 20744 61238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77416 15286 301 297 17 0 0 0
OW 79 1587 391 1127 405 26 0 0
VODI 1 438 192 937 732 316 31 0
ODI 4 111 95 593 801 525 248 0
CDI 6 81 45 491 1062 2119 815 7
VCDI 0 57 28 383 1068 6742 26773 53110
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77465 15972 490 635 54 0 0 0
OW 31 1053 268 1125 603 51 0 0
VODI 0 361 186 814 796 430 40 0
ODI 6 79 67 564 787 706 212 0
CDI 4 58 20 456 994 2147 1109 21
VCDI 0 37 21 234 851 6394 26506 53096

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76795 15438 375 418 73 0 0 0
OW 122 1385 437 1070 417 20 0 0
VODI 7 487 245 981 688 174 0 0
ODI 0 145 63 614 859 430 32 0
CDI 6 157 54 482 1163 2117 733 17
VCDI 4 149 71 360 1181 6503 20137 60334
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76898 16132 586 871 184 3 0 0
OW 25 900 308 980 574 57 0 0
VODI 1 428 217 903 746 241 1 0
ODI 0 126 47 576 889 601 50 0
CDI 6 92 42 337 1135 2112 818 28
VCDI 4 83 45 258 853 6230 20033 60323

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75296 16575 520 432 119 8 0 0
OW 57 1079 568 1134 212 20 0 0
VODI 7 167 110 1762 873 84 0 0
ODI 0 26 11 355 1261 338 0 0
CDI 0 23 18 229 982 2149 325 21
VCDI 10 0 2 89 670 5037 23342 60832
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75301 16480 720 1178 368 90 0 0
OW 58 930 243 1007 466 149 2 0
VODI 1 316 159 915 853 224 52 0
ODI 0 119 77 452 705 602 151 0
CDI 0 25 23 319 937 1826 1088 41
VCDI 10 0 7 130 788 4745 22374 60812

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72516 17689 604 759 136 38 0 0
OW 39 977 329 1023 569 29 0 0
VODI 3 131 97 1042 1300 229 3 0
ODI 0 27 28 336 981 716 29 2
CDI 0 18 15 216 836 2133 1645 88
VCDI 0 16 4 21 301 4795 23485 61538
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72541 17699 660 1176 689 150 9 0
OW 15 857 236 919 586 272 44 0
VODI 2 204 99 674 1032 458 85 0
ODI 0 66 43 315 661 779 167 0
CDI 0 21 38 264 664 1534 2041 63
VCDI 0 11 1 49 491 4747 22816 61565

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72278 16932 462 582 96 12 0 0
OW 38 1175 358 813 453 136 1 0
VODI 11 220 149 923 1084 481 124 0
ODI 0 41 27 372 1037 761 203 1
CDI 0 22 22 269 1063 2556 1293 39
VCDI 10 0 2 59 405 4070 21383 64780
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72263 16916 573 946 518 504 128 0
OW 55 1089 192 681 521 181 207 0
VODI 9 289 169 650 891 496 245 0
ODI 0 75 53 342 770 816 248 1
CDI 3 21 29 298 929 1918 1387 55
VCDI 7 0 4 101 509 4101 20789 64764


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