Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69180 10663 256 205 3 4 0 0
OW 7 418 228 772 110 18 0 0
VODI 4 84 49 658 516 91 0 0
ODI 1 27 26 218 634 293 8 0
CDI 4 2 2 145 673 1908 1056 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 599 6198 5293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69378 9991 171 139 1 0 0 0
OW 15 609 280 606 134 18 0 0
VODI 7 169 103 696 406 134 18 0
ODI 0 55 32 208 608 335 67 0
CDI 5 17 23 149 623 1269 1050 0
VCDI 0 3 14 56 155 1004 5517 6351
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69991 9549 146 91 5 0 0 0
OW 46 684 313 491 67 0 0 0
VODI 8 138 83 736 456 31 3 0
ODI 4 25 32 155 583 200 8 0
CDI 2 8 34 163 476 1156 401 0
VCDI 0 0 2 127 368 1550 8979 3305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70215 9272 87 120 16 0 0 0
OW 130 1027 176 220 111 1 0 0
VODI 15 296 180 594 297 92 4 0
ODI 3 95 49 314 347 181 27 0
CDI 1 52 51 391 551 827 413 0
VCDI 0 23 27 177 609 1691 7400 4334
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70284 9732 145 164 34 0 0 0
OW 68 746 203 354 143 6 0 0
VODI 11 217 117 586 371 121 5 0
ODI 1 52 46 267 381 284 49 0
CDI 0 17 55 331 580 819 585 0
VCDI 0 1 4 114 422 1562 7205 4334

Date: 2024-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69886 9356 108 71 24 5 0 0
OW 146 916 188 274 104 34 0 0
VODI 9 292 173 619 243 82 6 0
ODI 3 70 83 274 390 188 35 0
CDI 2 32 50 357 785 507 589 4
VCDI 0 18 6 81 472 1726 7830 4378
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69999 9838 170 144 53 20 0 0
OW 36 586 224 428 158 45 2 0
VODI 8 183 127 581 301 141 17 0
ODI 3 38 54 213 473 245 76 0
CDI 0 26 32 263 739 518 747 11
VCDI 0 13 1 47 294 1573 7618 4371

Date: 2024-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68644 10749 115 168 1 0 0 0
OW 37 593 330 448 86 11 0 0
VODI 8 68 92 783 390 33 0 0
ODI 4 16 16 243 543 133 0 0
CDI 0 12 6 127 656 1298 234 1
VCDI 0 0 0 27 156 1278 7539 5571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68667 10650 182 270 31 23 0 0
OW 15 502 201 445 201 48 1 0
VODI 10 201 101 566 371 120 11 0
ODI 1 51 40 196 449 280 57 0
CDI 0 27 34 254 550 992 835 6
VCDI 0 7 1 65 230 1290 6869 5566

Date: 2025-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67761 11135 170 172 11 0 0 0
OW 38 608 235 434 109 9 0 0
VODI 1 145 79 520 372 78 4 0
ODI 7 28 63 245 547 278 28 0
CDI 2 11 14 231 581 1243 755 0
VCDI 0 10 3 35 252 1289 7975 4938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67785 11020 249 239 31 17 1 0
OW 14 550 142 409 185 70 17 0
VODI 0 243 67 423 323 172 35 0
ODI 8 78 54 260 465 272 165 0
CDI 2 33 51 238 593 992 983 2
VCDI 0 13 1 68 275 1374 7561 4936

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68615 10081 131 118 2 0 0 0
OW 27 754 256 411 59 3 0 0
VODI 0 263 146 525 269 16 0 0
ODI 1 78 52 318 624 222 16 0
CDI 7 45 40 358 834 1695 611 0
VCDI 2 15 9 107 361 1745 6698 4902
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68614 9824 166 198 62 1 0 0
OW 27 755 157 324 184 38 0 0
VODI 1 417 160 391 229 114 9 0
ODI 2 127 79 295 430 294 101 0
CDI 8 93 60 419 797 1107 432 0
VCDI 0 20 12 210 447 2127 6783 4902


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