Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138 646 53 14 0 0 0 0
OW 10 116 46 75 0 0 0 0
VODI 2 29 34 142 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 170 90 17 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 346 332 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 71 577 7972 21859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 694 21 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 173 28 104 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 30 99 78 1 0 0
ODI 0 11 25 88 119 20 2 0
CDI 0 0 6 103 222 181 224 10
VCDI 0 0 0 7 117 415 5858 24375
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 709 60 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 193 39 73 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 41 199 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 107 123 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 68 206 270 27 5
VCDI 0 0 0 46 129 299 4225 26193
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 684 37 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 195 59 71 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 20 107 61 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 22 46 136 46 2 0
CDI 0 6 12 48 132 168 13 1
VCDI 0 3 12 94 143 486 6768 23618
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 786 71 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 37 106 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 29 78 125 8 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 38 140 99 2 0
CDI 0 3 10 40 109 243 54 0
VCDI 0 0 4 69 97 350 6727 23619

Date: 2024-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109 650 37 24 0 0 0 0
OW 6 186 55 61 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 19 94 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 67 83 99 0 0
CDI 0 43 2 33 121 134 13 8
VCDI 0 114 35 128 191 634 7351 22666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112 744 75 78 1 0 0 0
OW 3 127 25 80 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 16 66 69 55 0 0
ODI 0 36 5 48 90 135 1 1
CDI 0 40 7 37 105 181 47 28
VCDI 0 79 26 98 140 496 7316 22645

Date: 2024-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 721 39 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 195 52 58 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 14 129 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 4 59 62 0 0 0
CDI 0 24 29 103 182 161 26 5
VCDI 0 0 0 33 185 541 5640 24596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 740 59 83 6 0 0 0
OW 0 114 23 67 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 21 74 63 39 0 0
ODI 0 29 4 62 73 121 6 0
CDI 0 42 5 36 98 140 115 25
VCDI 0 44 26 90 182 402 5545 24576

Date: 2025-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109 778 32 6 0 0 0 0
OW 6 199 77 39 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 34 101 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 9 85 33 18 0 0
CDI 0 38 17 87 186 79 8 4
VCDI 0 0 10 98 528 1208 9953 19271
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110 720 71 31 0 0 0 0
OW 5 154 36 73 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 26 77 84 1 0 0
ODI 0 24 16 78 148 14 0 0
CDI 0 51 3 68 207 77 23 5
VCDI 0 70 27 89 309 1213 9938 19270

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 757 34 7 0 0 0 0
OW 7 206 43 44 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 22 89 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 6 79 37 17 0 0
CDI 0 58 12 69 172 100 3 7
VCDI 0 96 53 242 526 1522 6839 21718
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 626 59 28 0 0 0 0
OW 7 199 22 65 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 17 125 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 75 10 77 105 7 0 0
CDI 0 58 27 54 221 66 7 30
VCDI 0 180 35 181 385 1566 6835 21695


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