Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10659 4359 154 204 15 0 0 0
OW 95 626 183 455 88 29 0 0
VODI 37 183 52 425 609 181 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 149 373 273 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 337 971 446 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 208 3321 8728 28005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9287 4167 199 248 6 0 0 0
OW 42 825 120 464 244 14 0 0
VODI 58 210 33 449 546 205 0 0
ODI 3 11 0 172 394 566 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 359 754 503 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 320 2335 9228 29420
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8808 3946 92 144 2 0 0 0
OW 0 1137 197 357 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 202 99 634 562 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 134 934 514 4 0
CDI 0 9 7 11 368 1221 55 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 191 2757 7110 31675
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8517 3890 42 37 2 0 0 0
OW 5 1112 149 367 47 0 0 0
VODI 12 418 73 441 558 75 0 0
ODI 7 55 10 190 839 530 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 67 753 1080 128 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 501 2563 7603 31139
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8517 4354 121 176 2 0 0 0
OW 5 819 101 394 157 6 0 0
VODI 13 244 46 323 668 179 0 0
ODI 6 59 7 155 795 506 6 0
CDI 0 2 0 54 564 1184 265 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 514 2373 7460 31120

Date: 2024-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8074 4104 73 38 0 0 0 0
OW 22 1064 148 284 56 1 0 0
VODI 40 504 58 669 449 76 0 0
ODI 22 82 28 308 692 213 0 0
CDI 0 25 12 97 542 1429 431 7
VCDI 0 1 1 27 193 2771 7544 31146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8074 4599 154 167 22 0 0 0
OW 26 772 96 378 132 22 0 0
VODI 34 307 31 563 500 115 0 0
ODI 24 78 27 232 664 309 1 0
CDI 0 24 12 76 460 1209 366 14
VCDI 0 0 0 7 154 2835 7608 31139

Date: 2024-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8983 3758 55 98 0 0 0 0
OW 6 1004 308 492 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 19 1080 502 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 155 1135 145 0 1
CDI 0 1 0 29 371 1198 22 11
VCDI 0 0 0 29 177 2921 4772 33860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8971 3816 133 245 23 0 0 0
OW 18 737 125 448 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 251 102 658 507 33 0 0
ODI 0 44 20 354 618 107 0 0
CDI 0 9 2 165 681 639 60 74
VCDI 0 1 0 13 255 3486 4734 33798

Date: 2025-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9065 4118 105 95 5 0 0 0
OW 64 831 223 592 136 0 0 0
VODI 15 149 66 483 454 153 0 0
ODI 0 35 13 190 300 574 4 0
CDI 0 24 7 155 113 913 72 12
VCDI 0 12 6 55 190 3140 8853 30009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9055 4173 133 176 30 0 0 0
OW 76 597 153 268 130 5 0 0
VODI 13 262 95 589 349 132 0 0
ODI 0 65 15 255 312 257 0 0
CDI 0 38 16 176 197 752 42 67
VCDI 0 34 8 106 180 3634 8887 29954

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8567 4194 163 278 21 0 0 0
OW 83 536 128 594 382 51 0 0
VODI 8 116 51 383 372 201 54 0
ODI 0 26 4 210 194 216 128 0
CDI 0 18 2 121 127 338 312 1
VCDI 0 0 0 58 174 3637 10751 28732
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8578 4214 168 339 61 0 0 0
OW 73 425 99 356 189 30 0 0
VODI 7 189 64 479 401 177 33 0
ODI 0 23 14 244 210 192 88 0
CDI 0 35 3 177 198 366 296 3
VCDI 0 4 0 49 211 3678 10828 28730


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