Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72864 9256 145 87 0 0 0 0
OW 15 775 244 517 80 5 0 0
VODI 0 126 114 456 380 72 2 0
ODI 0 26 22 218 342 242 24 0
CDI 0 12 21 162 526 1110 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 274 1405 6837 3843
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72250 9297 135 87 1 0 0 0
OW 12 911 251 488 75 15 0 0
VODI 4 246 81 503 377 135 0 0
ODI 0 48 47 226 273 320 16 0
CDI 0 12 24 262 632 1141 364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 196 1255 6559 4161
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71011 10315 234 143 1 5 0 0
OW 4 644 322 580 63 9 0 0
VODI 0 91 102 607 406 49 0 0
ODI 2 16 40 165 514 185 0 0
CDI 3 0 20 119 443 1346 217 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 180 1144 5782 5611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69704 10473 282 213 3 9 0 0
OW 2 468 242 796 91 14 0 0
VODI 3 79 72 626 479 97 0 0
ODI 0 15 31 196 600 272 8 0
CDI 5 2 12 146 497 1852 990 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 166 659 5723 5567
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69704 10603 364 357 7 8 0 0
OW 1 353 165 810 147 17 0 0
VODI 4 73 71 489 577 114 0 0
ODI 1 8 30 188 535 416 25 0
CDI 3 0 9 143 442 1689 1115 0
VCDI 1 0 0 12 128 659 5581 5567

Date: 2024-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69084 10520 226 160 0 0 0 0
OW 9 508 281 721 93 25 0 0
VODI 5 115 95 698 456 110 2 0
ODI 1 35 26 244 648 258 36 0
CDI 4 5 18 143 696 1685 786 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 136 1006 6874 4672
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69084 10681 336 331 6 0 0 0
OW 9 360 179 751 169 31 0 0
VODI 5 112 85 533 563 150 2 0
ODI 3 25 38 221 529 451 76 0
CDI 2 5 8 132 620 1521 1027 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 142 931 6593 4672

Date: 2024-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69609 9920 154 88 1 0 0 0
OW 17 654 349 575 66 0 0 0
VODI 5 62 36 846 486 24 0 0
ODI 4 11 27 134 779 215 1 0
CDI 4 11 19 95 448 1499 227 0
VCDI 0 0 5 67 164 1135 8087 4592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69603 9782 236 273 13 1 0 0
OW 22 521 178 610 151 28 0 0
VODI 6 239 65 491 524 161 22 0
ODI 4 88 53 175 503 435 70 0
CDI 4 17 45 181 555 1151 1258 0
VCDI 0 11 13 75 198 1097 6965 4592

Date: 2024-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70140 9447 126 103 16 0 0 0
OW 85 843 242 340 133 1 0 0
VODI 16 226 148 615 342 58 4 0
ODI 5 65 41 221 457 155 16 0
CDI 1 40 62 272 523 803 458 0
VCDI 0 5 21 180 472 1535 8186 4013
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70139 9315 186 200 61 0 0 0
OW 87 777 188 396 207 17 5 0
VODI 17 311 101 472 391 128 51 0
ODI 4 131 64 232 380 299 143 0
CDI 0 84 62 247 536 830 793 0
VCDI 0 8 39 184 368 1278 7672 4013

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69887 9443 98 109 32 0 0 0
OW 157 934 165 299 82 17 0 0
VODI 13 322 152 591 303 83 0 0
ODI 0 92 91 243 383 230 6 0
CDI 2 61 77 415 594 769 419 4
VCDI 0 10 15 132 647 1527 6628 5384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69921 9570 140 256 89 27 0 0
OW 125 758 186 389 178 70 0 0
VODI 11 296 97 450 322 204 12 0
ODI 2 160 61 246 355 289 139 0
CDI 0 70 94 323 651 655 456 0
VCDI 0 8 20 125 446 1381 6446 5388


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