Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124 952 91 51 0 0 0 0
OW 20 59 55 239 37 0 0 0
VODI 6 10 15 147 196 39 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 47 136 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 132 267 46 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 42 417 5436 24379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 148 800 76 43 0 0 0 0
OW 2 53 45 176 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 14 108 181 87 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 38 96 204 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 112 181 191 8
VCDI 0 0 0 7 31 253 5379 24740
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 144 771 63 13 0 0 0 0
OW 6 74 63 55 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 36 171 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 106 89 3 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 259 293 121 8
VCDI 0 0 0 15 131 528 7807 22273
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132 725 38 9 0 0 0 0
OW 14 104 60 35 0 0 0 0
VODI 4 24 32 148 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 6 127 93 13 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 45 300 290 298 8
VCDI 0 0 1 21 74 300 8181 21988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 141 784 62 28 0 0 0 0
OW 9 58 55 81 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 16 152 40 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 86 152 45 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 239 310 401 20
VCDI 0 0 0 6 53 247 8074 21976

Date: 2024-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 650 43 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 33 112 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 31 152 53 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 114 143 16 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 332 295 305 11
VCDI 0 0 0 1 49 405 5653 24414
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 727 55 60 1 0 0 0
OW 0 77 35 122 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 12 21 155 93 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 87 206 26 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 243 341 404 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 348 5554 24389

Date: 2024-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 762 46 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 209 78 38 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 51 208 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 147 120 2 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 233 226 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 85 389 4548 25793
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 755 66 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 169 49 65 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 32 151 37 1 0 0
ODI 0 20 17 111 111 15 3 0
CDI 0 3 12 86 188 312 134 17
VCDI 0 0 0 55 101 289 4444 25776

Date: 2024-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 696 41 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 175 51 64 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 41 165 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 99 142 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 44 220 151 44 9
VCDI 0 0 0 53 93 364 5222 25298
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 708 63 67 6 0 0 0
OW 0 116 22 79 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 25 119 66 16 0 0
ODI 0 14 15 71 135 28 1 0
CDI 0 2 11 52 161 209 179 20
VCDI 0 0 5 71 106 280 5086 25287

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 682 36 27 0 0 0 0
OW 5 197 50 70 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 55 15 112 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 67 144 27 2 0
CDI 0 30 8 35 173 93 8 0
VCDI 0 48 28 128 220 647 6640 23414
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 673 58 112 2 0 0 0
OW 2 155 17 76 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 15 69 95 8 0 0
ODI 0 45 17 33 126 54 2 0
CDI 0 45 23 72 179 206 78 36
VCDI 0 32 14 77 142 499 6570 23378


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