Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14357 3530 93 72 0 0 0 0
OW 226 937 99 204 53 0 0 0
VODI 19 374 119 398 190 80 0 0
ODI 2 33 29 253 306 111 0 0
CDI 1 8 0 71 622 511 18 1
VCDI 0 10 0 9 407 3779 10120 24189
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13910 3368 43 45 28 0 0 0
OW 281 793 109 208 59 0 0 0
VODI 36 316 94 686 131 9 0 0
ODI 23 52 56 292 351 64 4 0
CDI 11 3 0 47 504 905 95 0
VCDI 11 0 0 0 391 3737 12533 22036
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12231 4886 94 50 6 25 0 0
OW 65 758 115 255 72 14 0 0
VODI 16 113 71 410 315 28 0 0
ODI 1 6 7 120 473 191 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 513 1031 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 357 3339 11227 24274
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11415 4439 123 154 3 6 0 0
OW 122 586 185 434 114 32 0 0
VODI 0 115 59 371 523 144 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 172 297 235 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 316 1116 354 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 408 3398 9524 26517
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11431 4480 194 318 17 5 0 0
OW 101 563 147 372 240 33 0 0
VODI 5 102 27 320 456 218 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 134 269 354 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 275 995 474 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 404 3326 9400 26517

Date: 2024-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9886 4430 210 215 9 0 0 0
OW 47 565 133 499 178 18 0 0
VODI 57 207 50 383 567 212 0 0
ODI 0 16 7 173 345 504 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 269 946 522 11
VCDI 0 0 0 2 204 3064 7531 29934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9889 4596 264 389 36 0 0 0
OW 41 423 75 407 238 27 0 0
VODI 60 189 61 358 579 374 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 135 258 567 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 252 969 684 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 209 2807 7346 29942

Date: 2024-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8919 4373 145 115 11 1 0 0
OW 0 894 203 410 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 34 715 492 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 1341 252 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 496 1051 105 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 218 2055 7650 31553
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8919 4290 190 358 24 0 0 0
OW 0 772 121 477 236 7 0 0
VODI 0 259 61 354 670 177 4 0
ODI 0 39 10 100 642 525 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 383 647 862 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 631 2013 6838 31554

Date: 2024-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8625 3903 86 79 0 0 0 0
OW 22 1018 152 428 46 0 0 0
VODI 71 358 67 463 555 52 0 0
ODI 0 23 6 231 696 654 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 349 1338 158 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 281 2903 6024 32549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8625 3840 131 220 12 0 0 0
OW 8 1016 131 442 210 1 0 0
VODI 43 380 44 382 679 151 1 0
ODI 42 66 5 168 427 770 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 210 902 713 15
VCDI 0 0 0 2 389 3123 5434 32572

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8194 4034 66 47 0 0 0 0
OW 28 1027 159 363 48 0 0 0
VODI 80 420 84 591 467 55 0 0
ODI 26 79 20 370 755 275 0 0
CDI 0 12 7 116 564 1168 394 17
VCDI 0 0 0 2 315 2751 7755 30942
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8199 4059 126 186 3 0 0 0
OW 46 989 125 459 152 2 0 0
VODI 62 452 68 620 603 59 0 0
ODI 21 72 17 147 695 293 6 2
CDI 0 0 0 66 431 741 783 52
VCDI 0 0 0 11 265 3154 7360 30905


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