Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75076 7536 163 296 156 0 0 0
OW 45 751 187 310 153 33 0 0
VODI 12 208 109 530 195 102 0 0
ODI 0 1 30 274 377 254 51 0
CDI 0 0 4 150 631 923 389 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 256 1984 6354 2860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74982 7545 158 213 70 0 0 0
OW 75 889 130 221 129 9 0 0
VODI 16 336 168 385 238 34 0 0
ODI 0 46 60 367 343 136 19 0
CDI 0 0 5 238 838 1115 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 183 1880 6032 3304
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74669 7922 162 197 50 0 0 0
OW 49 790 282 364 148 13 0 0
VODI 7 94 79 562 308 88 4 0
ODI 0 3 9 191 422 325 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 593 836 152 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 159 1495 6178 4151
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72811 9305 162 166 0 0 0 0
OW 10 699 255 596 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 71 480 436 75 0 0
ODI 0 25 10 169 397 289 0 0
CDI 0 15 17 110 602 965 314 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 193 1548 6935 3523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72817 9380 206 193 4 0 0 0
OW 4 618 203 559 126 1 0 0
VODI 0 106 83 483 479 77 0 0
ODI 0 17 12 192 397 379 17 0
CDI 0 17 11 99 610 1046 531 0
VCDI 0 3 0 0 148 1374 6701 3523

Date: 2024-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72864 9054 125 55 0 0 0 0
OW 32 898 210 464 64 8 0 0
VODI 12 215 117 410 347 118 7 0
ODI 1 29 43 230 312 251 19 0
CDI 0 10 17 224 558 1332 364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 211 1125 5395 5288
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72875 9156 171 128 5 0 0 0
OW 25 800 180 411 97 13 0 0
VODI 8 207 103 415 355 150 6 0
ODI 1 41 45 219 323 378 33 0
CDI 0 2 13 210 519 1291 772 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 193 1002 4974 5288

Date: 2024-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71556 10095 167 146 0 2 0 0
OW 1 833 306 450 68 7 0 0
VODI 4 44 83 742 316 34 0 0
ODI 1 1 21 164 554 172 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 502 1365 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 138 1279 6868 4202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71554 9758 190 262 14 11 0 0
OW 3 792 184 426 128 34 0 0
VODI 4 336 100 455 368 218 3 0
ODI 1 87 69 199 343 381 27 0
CDI 0 0 34 263 469 997 745 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 256 1218 6254 4202

Date: 2024-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70271 10498 277 166 6 8 0 0
OW 3 530 277 670 71 12 0 0
VODI 2 75 82 646 467 79 0 0
ODI 0 12 37 179 546 257 0 0
CDI 5 2 15 136 455 1665 663 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 193 830 6280 4959
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70271 10209 334 277 24 13 0 0
OW 4 608 162 610 157 38 0 0
VODI 1 221 99 450 511 241 17 0
ODI 2 58 40 230 394 420 90 0
CDI 3 21 52 220 412 1040 869 0
VCDI 0 0 1 52 240 1099 5967 4959

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69180 10663 256 205 3 4 0 0
OW 7 418 228 772 110 18 0 0
VODI 4 84 49 658 516 91 0 0
ODI 1 27 26 218 634 293 8 0
CDI 4 2 2 145 673 1908 1056 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 599 6198 5293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69186 10592 330 509 21 0 0 0
OW 3 427 133 624 236 26 0 0
VODI 2 161 82 521 543 235 9 0
ODI 2 12 16 219 489 462 134 0
CDI 3 2 0 119 544 1227 1169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 166 963 5950 5293


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