Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13790 4493 72 79 20 0 0 0
OW 85 906 136 243 69 0 0 0
VODI 3 352 158 610 402 175 0 0
ODI 0 26 12 266 371 501 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 369 633 143 17
VCDI 0 0 0 7 133 1814 7868 27424
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13618 3768 62 37 0 0 0 0
OW 198 1070 105 198 34 0 0 0
VODI 5 458 116 401 329 11 0 0
ODI 0 129 51 357 590 474 27 0
CDI 0 3 1 56 563 507 260 2
VCDI 0 0 0 2 152 1930 7763 27954
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14152 3356 31 68 2 0 0 0
OW 218 1299 106 132 5 0 0 0
VODI 38 264 136 679 206 4 0 0
ODI 0 19 11 299 644 85 1 0
CDI 0 2 0 50 466 650 149 1
VCDI 0 0 0 5 296 2342 8850 26665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14554 3385 56 56 5 0 0 0
OW 222 1004 97 187 24 0 0 0
VODI 36 443 134 412 189 33 0 0
ODI 1 43 39 313 280 121 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 167 491 547 20 5
VCDI 0 1 1 16 350 3552 9602 24836
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14667 3793 89 92 5 0 0 0
OW 128 687 79 212 40 0 0 0
VODI 18 370 123 382 126 35 0 0
ODI 0 26 34 307 250 119 0 0
CDI 0 4 4 146 568 532 50 25
VCDI 0 2 1 12 350 3567 9572 24816

Date: 2024-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13679 3858 45 136 2 0 0 0
OW 255 843 116 292 39 1 0 0
VODI 4 397 104 477 197 9 0 0
ODI 0 62 51 266 315 90 0 0
CDI 0 13 0 43 590 666 36 3
VCDI 0 11 0 0 426 3967 10389 23849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13804 4132 90 227 6 0 0 0
OW 132 616 91 290 58 2 0 0
VODI 2 350 78 393 160 38 0 0
ODI 0 69 56 238 272 88 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 66 632 690 112 9
VCDI 0 10 0 0 441 3915 10313 23843

Date: 2024-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12962 4544 131 163 48 1 0 0
OW 103 346 96 331 132 1 0 0
VODI 5 256 30 330 235 12 0 0
ODI 3 123 23 151 327 74 1 0
CDI 0 14 21 106 498 788 210 0
VCDI 0 11 0 2 337 3643 11290 23883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12914 4466 135 179 43 1 0 0
OW 137 356 83 340 120 1 0 0
VODI 19 305 33 310 310 11 0 0
ODI 3 125 30 153 389 88 0 0
CDI 0 33 20 100 375 845 183 0
VCDI 0 9 0 1 340 3573 11318 23883

Date: 2024-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11930 4790 186 245 9 16 0 0
OW 77 555 94 304 155 29 0 0
VODI 4 123 39 237 435 89 0 0
ODI 0 8 18 111 313 306 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 380 1193 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 432 3132 10236 25450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11974 4729 168 230 34 20 0 0
OW 33 342 101 274 179 34 0 0
VODI 4 288 30 245 379 124 1 0
ODI 0 75 9 106 302 173 8 0
CDI 0 42 29 79 313 751 277 7
VCDI 0 0 0 24 517 3663 10224 25443

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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