Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-12-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89010 13264 335 476 177 0 0 0
OW 135 1742 391 754 255 33 0 0
VODI 16 576 284 1346 808 280 0 0
ODI 0 27 43 595 1049 862 52 0
CDI 0 0 4 211 1173 2296 806 31
VCDI 0 0 0 40 425 4831 22466 49950
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88739 12557 267 269 70 0 0 0
OW 282 2136 336 526 164 9 0 0
VODI 23 842 327 1069 636 45 0 0
ODI 0 180 117 875 1187 622 46 0
CDI 0 3 6 314 1761 2064 595 5
VCDI 0 0 0 25 390 4437 18960 54859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88947 12662 198 266 52 0 0 0
OW 285 2347 498 584 153 13 0 0
VODI 51 409 248 1492 557 92 4 0
ODI 0 35 22 548 1277 451 40 0
CDI 0 3 0 125 1154 1948 344 7
VCDI 0 0 0 39 473 4290 19228 55901
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87485 13881 261 227 5 0 0 0
OW 251 1837 435 962 176 0 0 0
VODI 47 557 228 1052 800 126 0 0
ODI 1 75 50 532 799 505 0 0
CDI 0 26 20 287 1226 1796 350 7
VCDI 0 1 1 27 577 5716 22919 51498
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87617 14460 390 338 9 0 0 0
OW 147 1363 331 981 228 1 0 0
VODI 20 485 212 986 792 178 0 0
ODI 0 43 46 523 769 606 19 0
CDI 0 21 15 247 1260 1891 623 32
VCDI 0 5 1 12 525 5467 22627 51473

Date: 2024-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86683 13762 227 288 5 0 0 0
OW 296 1787 366 937 203 9 0 0
VODI 17 625 227 1001 732 216 7 0
ODI 1 93 97 529 756 495 27 0
CDI 0 23 17 275 1266 2197 574 11
VCDI 0 11 0 8 657 5349 20410 54559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86826 14173 346 557 47 0 0 0
OW 160 1433 285 843 292 18 0 0
VODI 10 566 187 876 707 339 6 0
ODI 1 110 102 474 713 611 54 0
CDI 0 9 14 281 1221 2178 1049 18
VCDI 0 10 0 7 639 5120 19909 54552

Date: 2024-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84641 15260 279 224 34 3 0 0
OW 130 1674 518 765 113 8 0 0
VODI 11 134 156 1615 609 34 0 0
ODI 3 9 21 353 1390 316 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 138 1115 2887 268 3
VCDI 0 4 0 15 403 4917 24168 52520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84618 15004 392 580 68 15 0 0
OW 140 1173 283 899 356 66 0 0
VODI 23 655 143 852 867 334 25 0
ODI 4 212 102 378 851 624 127 0
CDI 0 33 54 369 916 2044 1114 2
VCDI 0 9 0 32 606 5082 23170 52521

Date: 2024-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82353 15891 456 332 6 27 0 0
OW 78 1292 458 1013 163 40 0 0
VODI 11 242 168 1079 901 126 0 0
ODI 0 24 57 465 1000 495 6 0
CDI 5 2 15 231 1129 3192 1054 14
VCDI 0 0 0 69 689 4619 25214 51827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82384 15676 565 555 58 33 0 0
OW 51 1034 297 1018 368 76 0 0
VODI 7 543 151 820 1055 436 20 0
ODI 2 135 59 385 813 710 242 0
CDI 3 63 81 328 820 1990 1405 51
VCDI 0 0 1 83 774 5254 24607 51790

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79977 15668 463 423 18 4 0 0
OW 112 1160 457 1302 198 47 0 0
VODI 43 296 135 1225 1144 272 0 0
ODI 1 39 39 537 1097 583 12 0
CDI 4 2 2 258 1356 3211 1742 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 342 4497 22898 55157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80019 15664 558 920 171 7 0 0
OW 109 1011 296 971 503 63 0 0
VODI 4 392 205 1098 1086 480 11 0
ODI 2 92 35 531 932 943 211 0
CDI 3 6 2 222 988 2089 1742 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 475 5032 22688 55157


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