Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76451 7745 235 281 4 0 0 0
OW 51 584 176 518 117 3 0 0
VODI 0 85 72 500 579 53 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 208 415 353 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 553 1326 229 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 1032 6817 1838
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75972 7457 197 370 24 0 0 0
OW 82 742 205 266 164 6 0 0
VODI 3 186 153 489 394 63 0 0
ODI 0 25 17 341 401 298 0 0
CDI 0 6 2 120 744 1165 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 2252 5795 2297
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75765 7356 202 275 59 0 0 0
OW 63 784 216 270 103 0 0 0
VODI 4 77 156 567 306 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 303 638 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 110 759 1978 231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1526 5296 3180
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75308 7397 183 282 96 0 0 0
OW 69 829 207 273 168 0 0 0
VODI 12 179 158 524 257 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 309 470 213 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 175 691 1215 212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 221 1787 5518 3614
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75344 7528 208 295 122 0 0 0
OW 37 703 200 311 192 0 0 0
VODI 8 174 146 502 300 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 313 456 446 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 141 642 1186 277 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 191 1567 5452 3614

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75099 7400 170 321 122 0 0 0
OW 45 830 141 275 156 7 0 0
VODI 15 236 159 480 250 64 0 0
ODI 0 26 31 289 354 238 24 0
CDI 0 0 10 224 677 1019 328 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 257 1876 6323 2968
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75130 7609 200 339 154 0 0 0
OW 18 634 130 323 187 14 0 0
VODI 11 223 146 429 259 120 3 0
ODI 0 26 31 304 339 478 64 0
CDI 0 0 4 193 658 1079 409 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 219 1513 6199 2968

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75021 7910 146 179 38 0 0 0
OW 68 813 273 276 104 9 0 0
VODI 4 63 76 568 288 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 245 581 160 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 660 1312 113 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 96 1682 5962 3638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75051 7518 189 312 120 27 0 0
OW 36 793 73 203 150 66 0 0
VODI 6 401 139 206 304 113 9 0
ODI 0 74 98 338 302 330 108 0
CDI 0 0 1 271 723 1064 292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 168 1604 5677 3638

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73598 8645 135 230 36 0 0 0
OW 19 705 260 483 209 10 0 0
VODI 0 113 66 520 401 107 0 0
ODI 0 23 11 141 471 341 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 57 602 946 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 139 1746 7432 2762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73612 8229 175 442 213 34 0 0
OW 4 732 107 252 264 107 0 0
VODI 1 402 77 252 263 236 24 0
ODI 0 103 97 227 273 368 89 0
CDI 0 20 18 259 714 803 403 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 1602 7121 2762

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72864 9256 145 87 0 0 0 0
OW 15 775 244 517 80 5 0 0
VODI 0 126 114 456 380 72 2 0
ODI 0 26 22 218 342 242 24 0
CDI 0 12 21 162 526 1110 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 274 1405 6837 3843
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72872 8807 204 370 110 34 6 0
OW 7 703 119 307 229 129 13 0
VODI 0 426 80 274 251 213 10 0
ODI 0 212 46 186 228 299 45 0
CDI 0 47 95 306 545 813 529 1
VCDI 0 0 2 57 239 1346 6414 3842


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