Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1566 71 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 73 202 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 5 201 114 3 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 69 232 60 1 0
CDI 0 2 0 6 189 625 211 17
VCDI 0 16 0 0 100 1774 10274 16912
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 171 1783 23 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 277 61 114 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 52 204 41 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 106 143 18 1 0
CDI 0 2 0 83 314 180 30 19
VCDI 0 16 0 1 127 2742 10870 15657
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1783 66 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 158 91 172 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 29 335 92 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 88 274 48 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 38 321 745 87 0
VCDI 0 16 0 0 57 1703 8813 17978
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 148 1378 120 111 3 0 0 0
OW 2 74 67 212 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 16 270 173 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 307 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 236 777 164 10
VCDI 0 0 0 15 45 1193 7587 19999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 149 1420 153 186 6 0 0 0
OW 1 34 42 211 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 207 213 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 327 73 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 184 869 270 18
VCDI 0 0 0 16 25 1093 7480 19991

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 142 1173 75 78 1 0 0 0
OW 6 129 32 192 31 0 0 0
VODI 2 34 15 191 181 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 74 355 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 253 664 275 30
VCDI 0 0 0 19 24 895 7099 21073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 147 1243 91 175 10 0 0 0
OW 3 77 22 168 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 9 146 192 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 49 369 63 0 3
CDI 0 0 0 2 198 654 380 99
VCDI 0 0 0 19 15 887 6994 21001

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135 1386 12 2 0 0 0 0
OW 11 288 134 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 4 20 34 305 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 159 211 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 264 425 21 5
VCDI 0 0 0 21 57 611 3975 24941
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 142 1473 35 17 1 0 0 0
OW 7 151 80 88 6 0 0 0
VODI 1 71 63 250 61 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 152 186 12 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 17 215 332 50 17
VCDI 0 0 0 21 75 695 3946 24928

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123 1314 32 3 0 0 0 0
OW 20 201 94 156 0 0 0 0
VODI 7 38 23 175 135 5 0 0
ODI 0 13 0 54 111 80 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 31 87 331 33 7
VCDI 0 0 0 17 7 462 5019 24515
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138 1394 67 64 1 0 0 0
OW 9 130 56 117 43 3 0 0
VODI 3 40 21 147 138 28 0 0
ODI 0 4 6 73 89 93 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 62 211 10 12
VCDI 0 0 0 22 7 543 5042 24510

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124 952 91 51 0 0 0 0
OW 20 59 55 239 37 0 0 0
VODI 6 10 15 147 196 39 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 47 136 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 132 267 46 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 42 417 5436 24379
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134 941 109 189 14 0 0 0
OW 12 48 33 117 63 1 0 0
VODI 4 32 13 118 153 64 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 56 105 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 147 298 95 45
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 364 5387 24352


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