Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18163 3671 112 178 0 0 0 0
OW 577 184 71 227 89 0 0 0
VODI 121 79 43 285 278 61 0 0
ODI 15 16 2 92 354 191 3 0
CDI 2 11 2 16 319 780 52 3
VCDI 0 2 1 11 221 2084 7998 24917
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16765 4566 84 109 0 0 0 0
OW 14 689 114 296 56 15 0 0
VODI 3 133 59 414 203 141 12 0
ODI 0 16 7 161 301 182 73 0
CDI 0 6 1 9 229 560 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 217 1917 7604 26084
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15203 4891 94 103 6 0 0 0
OW 5 505 150 673 233 0 0 0
VODI 3 59 34 489 309 43 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 122 531 146 15 0
CDI 0 2 0 14 262 729 144 1
VCDI 0 2 1 6 169 1802 5797 28683
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14930 3833 67 87 7 0 0 0
OW 26 1050 161 202 90 10 0 0
VODI 4 276 131 601 398 336 0 0
ODI 0 25 17 224 337 282 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 46 369 488 203 7
VCDI 0 0 0 10 147 2136 8645 26080
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14942 4153 119 142 12 0 0 0
OW 15 785 146 283 155 33 0 0
VODI 3 231 108 577 384 387 0 0
ODI 0 16 3 136 349 344 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 334 485 247 9
VCDI 0 0 0 8 114 2003 8574 26078

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13562 4248 51 64 3 0 0 0
OW 134 975 118 212 80 0 0 0
VODI 3 384 125 452 342 52 0 0
ODI 0 64 45 386 587 553 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 419 614 101 27
VCDI 0 0 0 1 90 1624 8534 27311
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13620 4671 109 135 24 0 0 0
OW 76 619 98 257 121 0 0 0
VODI 3 315 88 418 366 66 0 0
ODI 0 66 44 314 588 597 18 2
CDI 0 0 0 16 333 623 292 46
VCDI 0 0 0 3 89 1557 8367 27290

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13336 4172 79 43 1 0 0 0
OW 139 1314 137 206 7 0 0 0
VODI 12 110 97 706 362 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 147 829 144 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 22 296 832 142 5
VCDI 0 0 0 5 146 1936 7756 28241
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13327 4216 111 168 16 0 0 0
OW 146 740 79 167 69 0 0 0
VODI 14 453 64 402 316 67 0 0
ODI 0 148 40 248 603 337 124 0
CDI 0 45 20 132 431 499 557 11
VCDI 0 0 0 12 206 2011 7217 28235

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14069 3644 53 20 47 0 0 0
OW 218 1206 86 113 29 0 0 0
VODI 42 433 155 481 193 8 0 0
ODI 0 31 31 326 415 140 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 130 502 629 48 8
VCDI 0 0 0 1 325 2956 8431 26457
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13909 3346 74 74 52 0 0 0
OW 346 730 55 159 48 0 0 0
VODI 71 740 73 356 185 27 0 0
ODI 3 380 76 273 457 337 9 1
CDI 0 120 49 178 398 641 252 43
VCDI 0 0 0 31 371 2728 8218 26421

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14357 3530 93 72 0 0 0 0
OW 226 937 99 204 53 0 0 0
VODI 19 374 119 398 190 80 0 0
ODI 2 33 29 253 306 111 0 0
CDI 1 8 0 71 622 511 18 1
VCDI 0 10 0 9 407 3779 10120 24189
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13939 2471 78 71 0 0 0 0
OW 531 829 47 139 81 0 0 0
VODI 128 730 72 225 90 33 0 0
ODI 7 525 60 273 301 289 1 0
CDI 0 301 78 268 540 739 143 57
VCDI 0 36 5 31 566 3420 9994 24133


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