Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94764 12982 418 507 4 0 0 0
OW 628 920 320 947 215 3 0 0
VODI 121 176 120 986 971 117 0 0
ODI 15 22 9 369 1001 604 18 0
CDI 2 13 2 84 1061 2731 492 20
VCDI 0 18 1 11 425 4890 25089 43667
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92908 13806 304 495 24 0 0 0
OW 96 1708 380 676 220 21 0 0
VODI 6 348 264 1107 638 207 12 0
ODI 0 42 36 608 845 498 74 0
CDI 0 14 3 212 1287 1905 230 19
VCDI 0 16 0 8 508 6911 24269 44038
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91118 14030 362 403 65 0 0 0
OW 68 1447 457 1115 342 0 0 0
VODI 7 149 219 1391 707 47 0 0
ODI 0 7 9 513 1443 357 15 0
CDI 0 4 1 162 1342 3452 462 1
VCDI 0 18 1 6 245 5031 19906 49841
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90386 12608 370 480 106 0 0 0
OW 97 1953 435 687 304 10 0 0
VODI 16 464 305 1395 828 354 0 0
ODI 0 25 47 593 1114 560 5 0
CDI 0 1 1 228 1296 2480 579 17
VCDI 0 0 0 27 413 5116 21750 49693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90435 13101 480 623 140 0 0 0
OW 53 1522 388 805 402 33 0 0
VODI 11 412 262 1286 897 421 0 0
ODI 0 16 28 500 1132 863 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 169 1160 2540 794 27
VCDI 0 0 0 27 330 4663 21506 49683

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88803 12821 296 463 126 0 0 0
OW 185 1934 291 679 267 7 0 0
VODI 20 654 299 1123 773 116 0 0
ODI 0 90 78 749 1296 837 66 0
CDI 0 0 10 257 1349 2297 704 57
VCDI 0 0 0 22 371 4395 21956 51352
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88897 13523 400 649 188 0 0 0
OW 97 1330 250 748 369 14 0 0
VODI 14 554 243 993 817 187 3 0
ODI 0 92 77 667 1296 1138 82 5
CDI 0 0 4 211 1189 2356 1081 145
VCDI 0 0 0 25 323 3957 21560 51259

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88492 13468 237 224 39 0 0 0
OW 218 2415 544 523 111 9 0 0
VODI 20 193 207 1579 662 43 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 551 1621 307 11 0
CDI 0 2 0 107 1220 2569 276 10
VCDI 0 0 0 32 299 4229 17693 56820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88520 13207 335 497 137 27 0 0
OW 189 1684 232 458 225 66 0 0
VODI 21 925 266 858 681 180 9 0
ODI 0 223 140 738 1091 679 232 1
CDI 0 45 21 420 1369 1895 899 28
VCDI 0 0 0 45 449 4310 16840 56801

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87790 13603 220 253 83 0 0 0
OW 257 2112 440 752 238 10 0 0
VODI 49 584 244 1176 729 120 0 0
ODI 0 67 42 521 997 561 12 0
CDI 0 4 5 218 1191 1906 274 15
VCDI 0 0 0 19 471 5164 20882 53734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87659 12969 316 580 266 34 0 0
OW 359 1592 218 528 355 110 0 0
VODI 75 1182 171 755 586 291 24 0
ODI 3 487 179 573 819 798 98 1
CDI 0 140 67 450 1174 1655 665 55
VCDI 0 0 0 53 509 4873 20381 53693

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87345 13738 329 210 0 0 0 0
OW 261 1771 398 960 170 5 0 0
VODI 25 510 248 1001 766 191 2 0
ODI 2 60 52 518 784 462 24 0
CDI 1 20 21 252 1280 1888 218 19
VCDI 0 10 0 74 723 5601 22393 52411
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86945 12219 391 630 124 34 6 0
OW 550 1580 199 563 373 130 13 0
VODI 132 1188 165 617 494 310 10 0
ODI 7 738 113 515 634 693 46 0
CDI 0 348 173 602 1232 1850 767 103
VCDI 0 36 7 88 866 5130 21795 52327


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