Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79722 7434 175 202 34 13 0 0
OW 18 415 211 335 82 8 0 0
VODI 1 31 120 489 191 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 295 379 95 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 87 618 653 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 47 1317 6064 1107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78786 7626 182 210 17 0 0 0
OW 18 484 178 388 114 48 0 0
VODI 2 52 118 491 254 108 0 0
ODI 0 1 20 229 394 239 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 119 597 538 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 115 1423 5102 2474
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77882 7670 196 238 3 0 0 0
OW 19 403 177 434 119 0 0 0
VODI 1 37 84 549 495 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 176 566 221 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 459 1192 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 1315 5314 2674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77071 7694 243 153 1 0 0 0
OW 33 490 213 561 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 87 489 520 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 218 480 348 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 104 618 1176 139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 102 937 5959 2575
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77071 7733 265 184 4 0 0 0
OW 33 442 196 514 57 1 0 0
VODI 0 90 81 515 495 34 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 210 457 293 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 665 1207 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 964 5930 2575

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76474 7384 216 312 3 0 0 0
OW 78 623 232 373 123 0 0 0
VODI 4 147 139 550 444 30 0 0
ODI 0 17 9 264 390 368 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 149 690 1151 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 146 1535 6367 2149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76470 7459 236 318 9 0 0 0
OW 80 556 220 371 115 0 0 0
VODI 6 136 131 533 401 29 0 0
ODI 0 18 9 285 429 325 0 0
CDI 0 7 0 140 698 1195 37 0
VCDI 0 0 1 1 144 1535 6373 2149

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75932 7470 214 293 15 0 0 0
OW 45 731 248 267 87 0 0 0
VODI 1 45 71 733 344 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 226 753 140 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 619 2170 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1450 5227 3223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75869 7204 231 352 41 0 0 0
OW 104 769 142 286 208 0 0 0
VODI 5 228 141 459 349 32 0 0
ODI 0 37 20 327 439 252 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 132 688 1517 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 112 1961 5253 3223

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75437 7451 174 253 74 0 0 0
OW 76 839 213 247 135 0 0 0
VODI 8 128 169 561 283 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 327 562 172 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 153 796 1520 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 80 1572 5525 3470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75343 7013 174 266 107 0 0 0
OW 144 920 163 208 185 0 0 0
VODI 33 447 152 470 289 27 0 0
ODI 1 38 66 378 432 187 0 0
CDI 0 1 8 207 746 1309 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 171 1755 5540 3470

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75076 7536 163 296 156 0 0 0
OW 45 751 187 310 153 33 0 0
VODI 12 208 109 530 195 102 0 0
ODI 0 1 30 274 377 254 51 0
CDI 0 0 4 150 631 923 389 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 256 1984 6354 2860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74909 6917 135 271 108 11 0 0
OW 152 897 156 249 199 50 0 0
VODI 58 551 95 475 183 131 0 0
ODI 13 117 74 290 401 272 17 0
CDI 1 14 33 251 528 910 414 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 349 1922 6363 2860


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