Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 165 1464 107 194 22 0 0 0
OW 1 85 33 268 133 10 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 110 193 16 0 0
ODI 0 15 7 29 144 115 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 7 181 584 94 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1017 8488 19525
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 179 1707 77 30 0 0 0 0
OW 8 191 79 186 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 37 143 127 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 15 79 87 50 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 43 180 439 62 3
VCDI 0 16 0 0 27 1304 7704 20156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 194 1785 69 12 0 0 0 0
OW 16 205 129 151 0 0 0 0
VODI 5 18 14 253 74 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 83 260 63 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 17 222 888 47 12
VCDI 0 17 0 5 125 1842 9976 16597
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1552 54 78 0 0 0 0
OW 0 153 48 265 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 6 175 148 7 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 25 287 124 0 3
CDI 0 2 0 2 156 868 217 22
VCDI 0 16 0 0 35 2156 10547 15970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1547 66 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 156 39 252 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 171 155 5 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 28 271 126 1 3
CDI 0 2 0 3 164 903 284 25
VCDI 0 16 0 0 41 2121 10479 15967

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 200 1692 22 12 0 0 0 0
OW 5 256 92 82 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 32 222 38 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 114 150 21 4 3
CDI 0 2 0 45 297 231 62 17
VCDI 0 16 0 4 100 2277 10325 16752
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 205 1695 24 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 255 85 83 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 37 227 45 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 106 148 16 4 3
CDI 0 2 0 46 288 216 76 18
VCDI 0 16 0 4 104 2297 10311 16751

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 154 1879 36 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 179 129 116 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 19 393 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 108 265 13 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 20 379 721 10 0
VCDI 0 16 0 0 12 1907 8792 17895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 154 1787 52 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 222 77 169 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 43 234 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 8 119 130 26 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 90 327 267 9 2
VCDI 0 17 0 8 197 2348 8793 17893

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 149 1602 91 78 0 0 0 0
OW 1 108 75 230 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 19 304 107 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 82 297 26 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 7 325 789 227 1
VCDI 0 15 0 0 33 1383 8652 18452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1554 63 79 0 0 0 0
OW 0 145 82 232 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 32 245 150 8 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 100 163 55 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 45 358 523 130 2
VCDI 0 17 0 0 67 1612 8749 18451

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 144 1235 100 101 1 0 0 0
OW 5 85 68 201 33 0 0 0
VODI 1 16 17 206 211 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 55 301 107 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 173 740 274 14
VCDI 0 0 0 17 36 1033 8244 19666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 145 1247 87 94 11 0 0 0
OW 5 83 88 223 52 3 0 0
VODI 0 6 11 200 272 76 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 167 121 10 2
CDI 0 0 0 7 182 509 226 22
VCDI 0 0 0 19 71 1174 8282 19656


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