Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22320 1290 63 114 25 0 0 0
OW 133 357 88 305 132 0 0 0
VODI 46 172 76 305 272 53 0 0
ODI 4 79 17 162 381 275 0 0
CDI 0 18 5 90 558 770 12 0
VCDI 0 3 0 14 442 4800 10880 16970
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22078 1251 61 91 35 0 0 0
OW 124 288 107 312 249 1 0 0
VODI 34 120 42 315 240 103 0 0
ODI 1 49 20 197 269 282 0 0
CDI 0 13 4 52 271 889 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 132 2722 8300 22497
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19317 3615 128 154 6 3 0 0
OW 52 248 48 202 66 1 0 0
VODI 17 75 43 344 367 87 0 0
ODI 2 3 3 79 477 94 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 261 703 92 2
VCDI 0 0 0 21 92 1954 7387 25255
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18316 3696 115 211 9 0 0 0
OW 285 442 46 217 132 4 0 0
VODI 57 117 39 271 319 58 0 0
ODI 9 8 3 77 381 241 0 0
CDI 1 0 4 21 270 849 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 204 2138 7398 25201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18292 3735 119 225 26 0 0 0
OW 307 413 50 198 116 3 0 0
VODI 59 106 26 269 288 71 0 0
ODI 8 9 9 77 399 238 0 0
CDI 2 0 3 25 257 797 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 229 2181 7406 25201

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17778 3904 107 122 2 0 0 0
OW 157 564 65 259 66 16 0 0
VODI 32 135 64 273 221 138 14 0
ODI 2 22 7 110 236 197 87 0
CDI 1 5 1 41 205 786 152 12
VCDI 0 1 1 10 197 1706 7107 26428
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17788 3946 120 192 16 0 0 0
OW 151 529 65 190 69 11 0 0
VODI 28 125 46 273 214 99 17 0
ODI 1 26 11 99 229 241 87 0
CDI 1 4 2 51 192 782 136 11
VCDI 1 1 1 10 207 1710 7120 26429

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15455 5360 133 117 0 0 0 0
OW 0 425 228 455 29 0 0 0
VODI 3 39 30 637 195 23 1 0
ODI 0 5 1 111 520 117 30 0
CDI 0 3 1 15 203 884 170 1
VCDI 0 1 0 7 161 1723 5463 28685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15454 5110 163 287 43 1 0 0
OW 1 600 168 411 84 29 0 0
VODI 3 101 51 421 244 79 46 0
ODI 0 15 9 188 301 216 102 0
CDI 0 5 2 25 248 580 214 0
VCDI 0 2 0 10 188 1842 5302 28686

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15188 4163 88 72 0 0 0 0
OW 16 940 176 410 171 19 0 0
VODI 3 116 88 552 412 135 0 0
ODI 0 9 10 191 454 129 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 369 544 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 242 1972 8230 26296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15170 4283 87 82 10 8 0 0
OW 34 759 183 393 217 45 0 0
VODI 3 172 85 496 410 148 69 0
ODI 0 11 5 186 389 254 86 0
CDI 0 3 2 76 390 526 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 232 1818 8155 26296

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13790 4493 72 79 20 0 0 0
OW 85 906 136 243 69 0 0 0
VODI 3 352 158 610 402 175 0 0
ODI 0 26 12 266 371 501 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 369 633 143 17
VCDI 0 0 0 7 133 1814 7868 27424
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13807 4694 102 112 61 0 0 0
OW 68 726 152 280 163 77 6 0
VODI 3 321 102 471 350 337 60 0
ODI 0 34 22 275 236 327 75 0
CDI 0 2 0 100 453 606 219 1
VCDI 0 0 0 21 101 1776 7651 27440


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